Pro League · Regular Season - 12
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC host Al-Fateh on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 87%, draw 9%, Al-Fateh 4%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Hilal Saudi FC €10.4M, Al-Fateh €1.4M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Saudi Pro League matchday 12: 599 points.
- Draw chance 9%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Saudi Pro League: Y. Bounou is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2421).
- Style contrast in discipline (Saudi Pro League): Al-Hilal Saudi FC rank #3 of 19, Al-Fateh #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Hilal Saudi FC goals first.
- 3–010%
- 4–09%
- 2–09%
- 3–18%
- 4–17%
- 2–17%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2328 · Al-Fateh 1729
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.1 (Elite) · Elo 2496
Al-Fateh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1941
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2nd in Saudi Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 13 OctWAl Sadd AFC Champions League2326
- 10 OctWAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League2333
- 15 SepWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League2253
- 12 SepWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2357
- 7 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League2346
Al-Fateh
16th in Saudi Pro League · 6 pts from 10
- 18 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1757
- 15 OctWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1767
- 9 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1783
- 13 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League1742
- 9 SepLAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1699
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 21 /8 | 79.3 | 63% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Al-Fateh | 6 /10 | 29.7 | 0% | 0% | 39% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Hilal Saudi FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Simone Inzaghi plays) · Al-Fateh: balanced profile (how Jamal Sellami plays)