Pro League · Regular Season - 14
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Diriyah
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC host Al Diriyah on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 69%, draw 19%, Al Diriyah 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Hilal Saudi FC €10.5M, Al Diriyah €4.1M.
- Saudi Pro League: Y. Bounou is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2432).
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Al-Hilal Saudi FC's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Hilal Saudi FC goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2348 · Al Diriyah 2007
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 2446
Al Diriyah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2300
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1st in Saudi Pro League · 30 pts from 11
- 3 NovWShabab Al Ahli Dubai AFC Champions League2195
- 31 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League2381
- 27 OctLAl Shamal AFC Champions League2094
- 23 OctWAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League2407
- 19 OctWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2400
Al Diriyah
8th in Saudi Pro League · 15 pts from 12
- 30 OctLNEOM Saudi Pro League2043
- 23 OctLAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1882
- 20 OctWAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1935
- 17 OctDAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2030
- 9 OctLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League2049
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 30 /11 | 84.0 | 84% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Al Diriyah | 15 /12 | 50.0 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · shot-heavy