Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 13:40 UTC · Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Al-Hazm host Al-Fayha on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Hazm 34%, draw 29%, Al-Fayha 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Hazm €473K, Al-Fayha €864K.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Hazm goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al-Hazm 1707 · Al-Fayha 1740
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Hazm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1881
Al-Fayha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1873
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Hazm
11th in Saudi Pro League · 9 pts from 9
- 15 OctLAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League1710
- 10 OctDNEOM Saudi Pro League1665
- 11 SepLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1651
- 8 SepWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1707
- 5 SepDAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1701
Al-Fayha
14th in Saudi Pro League · 7 pts from 9
- 15 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1760
- 11 OctDAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1803
- 12 SepDAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1837
- 8 SepLAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1806
- 3 SepDAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1796
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm | 9 /9 | 31.9 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 14th |
| Al-Fayha | 7 /9 | 31.6 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Hazm: balanced profile (how Jalel Kadri plays) · Al-Fayha: balanced profile (how Fábio Luiz Carille de Araujo plays)