Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Al-Hazm 2–3 Al-Fateh
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Al-HazmTeam 1654
Al-FatehTeam 1709Match story
Al-Hazm · draw · Al-FatehBefore kick-off: 33% · 29% · 38%
Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 96% · 2%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Sofiane Bendebka 17' (pen)
- Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe 49'
- Wilfried Kanga 27'
- Faisal Abdulwahed 88'
- Mourad Batna 90+5'
We gave Al-Fateh 38% to win: they did.
- Sofiane Bendebka 1854 −11 (pen.)17'
Al-Hazm:Sofiane Bendebka 1854 −11 (pen.) - 23'Abdulelah Al Khaibari 1714 +13*
Al-Fateh:Abdulelah Al Khaibari 1714 +13* - 27'Wilfried Kanga 1893 +39 assist Mourad Batna 1843 +38
Al-Fateh:Wilfried Kanga 1893 +39 assist Mourad Batna 1843 +38 - Ahmed Al-Shamrani 1741 −8*43'
Al-Hazm:Ahmed Al-Shamrani 1741 −8* - Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe 1625 0 assist Amir Saâyoud 1580 −849'
Al-Hazm:Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe 1625 0 assist Amir Saâyoud 1580 −8 - 57'Mihai Lixandru 1770 +8 for Zaydou Youssouf 1941 +6
Al-Fateh:Mihai Lixandru 1770 +8 for Zaydou Youssouf 1941 +6 - 57'Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari 1201 +15 for Sattam Tumbukti 1285 +35
Al-Fateh:Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari 1201 +15 for Sattam Tumbukti 1285 +35 - Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida 1747 −2 for Ahmed Al-Shamrani 1741 −8*66'
Al-Hazm:Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida 1747 −2 for Ahmed Al-Shamrani 1741 −8* - Mohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami 1572 −8* for Abdulaziz Al-Harbi 1409 −8*75'
Al-Hazm:Mohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami 1572 −8* for Abdulaziz Al-Harbi 1409 −8* - 76'Kennedy Boateng 1709 +23
Al-Fateh:Kennedy Boateng 1709 +23 - 80'Fahad Al Zubaidi 1605 −4* for Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari 1201 +15
Al-Fateh:Fahad Al Zubaidi 1605 −4* for Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari 1201 +15 - 80'Faisal Abdulwahed 1242 +17 for Abdulelah Al Khaibari 1714 +13*
Al-Fateh:Faisal Abdulwahed 1242 +17 for Abdulelah Al Khaibari 1714 +13* - Aboubacar·Diakite 1071 0 for Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe 1625 085'
Al-Hazm:Aboubacar·Diakite 1071 0 for Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe 1625 0 - Mory Konate 1695 −5 for Sofiane Bendebka 1854 −1185'
Al-Hazm:Mory Konate 1695 −5 for Sofiane Bendebka 1854 −11 - Mohammed Al Hamdani 1516 0 for Amir Saâyoud 1580 −885'
Al-Hazm:Mohammed Al Hamdani 1516 0 for Amir Saâyoud 1580 −8 - 88'Faisal Abdulwahed 1242 +17 assist Mourad Batna 1843 +38
Al-Fateh:Faisal Abdulwahed 1242 +17 assist Mourad Batna 1843 +38 - 90+2'Robin Kelder 1487 0 for Lukáš Haraslín 1981 +23
Al-Fateh:Robin Kelder 1487 0 for Lukáš Haraslín 1981 +23 - 90+5'Mourad Batna 1843 +38
Al-Fateh:Mourad Batna 1843 +38
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 33% · 29% · 38%(Al-Hazm · draw · Al-Fateh)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Al-Hazm €573K, Al-Fateh €1.4M.
- Draw chance was 29%, above the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Hazm
10th in Saudi Pro League · 9 pts from 8
- 10 OctDNEOM Saudi Pro League1665
- 11 SepLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1651
- 8 SepWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1707
- 5 SepDAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1701
- 30 AugDAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1732
Al-Fateh
16th in Saudi Pro League · 3 pts from 8
- 9 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1783
- 13 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League1742
- 9 SepLAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1699
- 5 SepDAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1720
- 29 AugDAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1753
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm | 9 /8 | 33.8 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 13th |
| Al-Fateh | 3 /8 | 29.8 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Al-Hazm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1887

Al-Fateh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1935
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Hazm: balanced profile (how Jalel Kadri plays) · Al-Fateh: balanced profile (how Khaled Al Atawi plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.