Stars League · Regular Season - 8
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Qatar Sports Club Stadium, Doha
Al-Gharafa host Qatar SC on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Stars League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Gharafa 53%, draw 26%, Qatar SC 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Gharafa €958K, Qatar SC €486K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Gharafa goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Al-Gharafa 1742 · Qatar SC 1606
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Gharafa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1830
Qatar SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1411
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Gharafa
10th in Stars League · 6 pts from 7
- 26 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah AFC Champions League1697
- 22 OctDAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1706
- 18 OctDAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1748
- 12 OctLEsteghlal FC AFC Champions League1689
- 8 OctLAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1755
Qatar SC
11th in Stars League · 6 pts from 7
- 23 OctWAl Shamal Qatar Stars League1573
- 17 OctDAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1588
- 9 OctLAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1612
- 12 SepDAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1607
- 3 SepLAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1637
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa | 6 /7 | 11.8 | 0% | 2% | 31% | 8th |
| Qatar SC | 6 /7 | 10.6 | 0% | <1% | 54% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Gharafa: dribble-heavy (how Pedro Martins plays) · Qatar SC: direct (how Tintín Márquez plays)