Stars League · Regular Season - 9
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Al Gharafa Stadium, Doha
Al-Gharafa host Al-Duhail SC on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Stars League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Gharafa 26%, draw 28%, Al-Duhail SC 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Gharafa €1.5M, Al-Duhail SC €2.8M.
- Stars League: Tuta is the highest-rated defender (2209).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Stars League): Al-Gharafa rank #1 of 11, Al-Duhail SC #11.
- Al-Duhail SC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Gharafa goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Al-Gharafa 1737 · Al-Duhail SC 1945
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Gharafa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1730
Al-Duhail SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 2050
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Gharafa
8th in Stars League · 9 pts from 8
- 2 NovLAl-Qadisiyah FC AFC Champions League1658
- 30 OctWQatar SC Qatar Stars League1728
- 26 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah AFC Champions League1696
- 22 OctDAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1706
- 18 OctDAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1748
Al-Duhail SC
3rd in Stars League · 18 pts from 8
- 31 OctWAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1949
- 24 OctWLusail City Qatar Stars League1948
- 18 OctWAl Sadd Qatar Stars League1961
- 8 OctWAl Shamal Qatar Stars League1897
- 12 SepDAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1874
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa | 9 /8 | 13.2 | 0% | 4% | 10% | 7th |
| Al-Duhail SC | 18 /8 | 23.8 | 33% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Gharafa: dribble-heavy (how Pedro Martins plays) · Al-Duhail SC: possession-based · low-block (how Djamel Belmadi plays)