Pro League · Regular Season - 14
Al-Fayha vs Al-Fateh
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Al-Fayha host Al-Fateh on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Fayha 37%, draw 29%, Al-Fateh 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Fayha €892K, Al-Fateh €1.3M.
- Home advantage makes Al-Fayha the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance; Saudi Pro League has one of the three smallest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Fayha goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al-Fayha 1753 · Al-Fateh 1756
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Fayha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1878
Al-Fateh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1926
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Fayha
13th in Saudi Pro League · 11 pts from 12
- 31 OctWAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1728
- 22 OctDAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1738
- 19 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1733
- 15 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1759
- 11 OctDAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1802
Al-Fateh
16th in Saudi Pro League · 6 pts from 12
- 31 OctLAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League1814
- 22 OctLAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1794
- 18 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1759
- 15 OctWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1767
- 9 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1783
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha | 11 /12 | 31.6 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 12th |
| Al-Fateh | 6 /12 | 29.7 | 0% | 0% | 35% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Fayha: balanced profile (how Fábio Carille plays) · Al-Fateh: balanced profile (how Jamal Sellami plays)