Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Al-Fayha 2–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 15:05 UTC · Al Majma’a Sport City, Madimaa
Al-FayhaTeam 1685Al-Ahli JeddahTeam 2121- Hugo Moura 44'
- Jason Remeseiro 65'
- Artem Bondarenko 45+3', 70'
- Firas Al-Buraikan 59' (pen)
We gave Al-Ahli Jeddah 69% to win: they did.
- 14'Artem Bondarenko 2094 for Ziyad Al-Johani 2230Al-Ahli Jeddah:Artem Bondarenko 2094 for Ziyad Al-Johani 2230
- Alfa Semedo 182319'Al-Fayha:Alfa Semedo 1823
- Hugo Moura 1873 assist Ahmed Bamasud 180744'Al-Fayha:Hugo Moura 1873 assist Ahmed Bamasud 1807
- 45+3'Artem Bondarenko 2094 assist Saad Yaslam Balobaid 2073Al-Ahli Jeddah:Artem Bondarenko 2094 assist Saad Yaslam Balobaid 2073
- 59'Firas Al-Buraikan 2205 (pen.)Al-Ahli Jeddah:Firas Al-Buraikan 2205 (pen.)
- Jason Remeseiro 179865'Al-Fayha:Jason Remeseiro 1798
- 70'Artem Bondarenko 2094 assist Valentin Atangana Edoa 2240Al-Ahli Jeddah:Artem Bondarenko 2094 assist Valentin Atangana Edoa 2240
- 80'Mohammed Abdulrahman Yousef 2050 for Saeed Baattia 2041Al-Ahli Jeddah:Mohammed Abdulrahman Yousef 2050 for Saeed Baattia 2041
- Mansor Al Beshe 1768 for Hugo Moura 187380'Al-Fayha:Mansor Al Beshe 1768 for Hugo Moura 1873
- 80'Meshal Al Materai 1511 for Matheus Gonçalves Martins 2081Al-Ahli Jeddah:Meshal Al Materai 1511 for Matheus Gonçalves Martins 2081
- Rayan Enad 1547 for Mohammed Al-Baqawi 179788'Al-Fayha:Rayan Enad 1547 for Mohammed Al-Baqawi 1797
- Fahad Al Hubayshi 1552 for Mokher Al-Rashidi 180289'Al-Fayha:Fahad Al Hubayshi 1552 for Mokher Al-Rashidi 1802
- Nawaf Al-Harthi 1631 for Yago Souza 157689'Al-Fayha:Nawaf Al-Harthi 1631 for Yago Souza 1576
- 90+4'Mohammed Sulaiman 2130 for Eduard Spertsyan 2111Al-Ahli Jeddah:Mohammed Sulaiman 2130 for Eduard Spertsyan 2111
- 90+4'Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 1641 for Valentin Atangana Edoa 2240Al-Ahli Jeddah:Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 1641 for Valentin Atangana Edoa 2240
Line-ups
Before kick-off: 12% · 19% · 69%(Al-Fayha · draw · Al-Ahli Jeddah)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 2–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Al-Fayha €777K, Al-Ahli Jeddah €7.0M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Saudi Pro League): Al-Fayha ranked #18 of 19, Al-Ahli Jeddah #3.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Fayha
14th in Saudi Pro League · 7 pts from 9
- 15 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1760
- 11 OctDAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1803
- 12 SepDAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1837
- 8 SepLAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1806
- 3 SepDAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1796
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th in Saudi Pro League · 15 pts from 8
- 12 OctWAl-Wasl FC AFC Champions League2130
- 9 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League2150
- 19 SepLMamelodi Sundowns FIFA Intercontinental Cup2191
- 11 SepWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2157
- 8 SepLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League2193
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha | 7 /9 | 31.6 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 14th |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 15 /8 | 67.2 | 2% | 76% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Fayha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1873
Al-Ahli Jeddah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2111
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Fayha: balanced profile (how Fábio Luiz Carille de Araujo plays) · Al-Ahli Jeddah: shot-heavy (how Marino Pusic plays)