Pro League · Regular Season - 13
Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Al-Fateh host Al Riyadh on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Fateh 44%, draw 28%, Al Riyadh 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Fateh €1.4M, Al Riyadh €496K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Saudi Pro League): Al-Fateh rank #2 of 19, Al Riyadh #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Fateh goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Al-Fateh 1727 · Al Riyadh 1655
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Fateh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1932
Al Riyadh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1809
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Fateh
16th in Saudi Pro League · 6 pts from 11
- 22 OctLAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1792
- 18 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1757
- 15 OctWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1767
- 9 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1783
- 13 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League1742
Al Riyadh
13th in Saudi Pro League · 9 pts from 9
- 20 OctLAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1678
- 11 OctDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1640
- 13 SepWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1595
- 7 SepDAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1599
- 4 SepLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1598
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | 6 /11 | 28.6 | 0% | 0% | 42% | 17th |
| Al Riyadh | 9 /9 | 30.1 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Fateh: balanced profile (how Jamal Sellami plays) · Al Riyadh: direct (how Mauricio Dulac plays)