Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Al-Fateh 2–3 Al Khaleej Saihat
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Maydan Tamweel Al Oula, Al-Hasa
Al-FatehTeam 1682
Al Khaleej SaihatTeam 1691Match story
Al-Fateh · draw · Al Khaleej SaihatBefore kick-off: 36% · 30% · 34%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Lukáš Haraslín 33'
- Wilfried Kanga 60'
- Musa Barrow 78'
- Joshua King 84'
- Omar Mascarell 90+3'
We gave Al-Fateh 36% to win: Al Khaleej Saihat won.
- Lukáš Haraslín 1961 −21 assist Mourad Batna 1828 −1533'
Al-Fateh:Lukáš Haraslín 1961 −21 assist Mourad Batna 1828 −15 - Ali Al-Hassan 1955 −1137'
Al-Fateh:Ali Al-Hassan 1955 −11 - Ali Alamine 1464 −8*38'
Al-Fateh:Ali Alamine 1464 −8* - 45'Joshua King 1909 +16 for Thamer Al-Khaibri 1586 +20
Al Khaleej Saihat:Joshua King 1909 +16 for Thamer Al-Khaibri 1586 +20 - Fahad Al Zubaidi 1605 0 for Ali Alamine 1464 −8*45'
Al-Fateh:Fahad Al Zubaidi 1605 0 for Ali Alamine 1464 −8* - 58'Ali Saeed Ali Al Shaafi 1418 +38*
Al Khaleej Saihat:Ali Saeed Ali Al Shaafi 1418 +38* - Wilfried Kanga 1879 −14 assist Hossam Essadak 1437 −8*60'
Al-Fateh:Wilfried Kanga 1879 −14 assist Hossam Essadak 1437 −8* - 62'Saleh Al Amri 1680 +5 for Nawaf Al-Sadi 1722 +20
Al Khaleej Saihat:Saleh Al Amri 1680 +5 for Nawaf Al-Sadi 1722 +20 - 62'Musa Barrow 1961 +10 for Hussain Al Issa 1610 +18*
Al Khaleej Saihat:Musa Barrow 1961 +10 for Hussain Al Issa 1610 +18* - Faisal Abdulwahed 1242 0 for Lukáš Haraslín 1961 −2167'
Al-Fateh:Faisal Abdulwahed 1242 0 for Lukáš Haraslín 1961 −21 - 76'Majed Omar Kanabah 1656 −1 for Mansour Hamzi 1660 +22
Al Khaleej Saihat:Majed Omar Kanabah 1656 −1 for Mansour Hamzi 1660 +22 - 76'Pedro Rebocho 1929 −1 for Ali Saeed Ali Al Shaafi 1418 +38*
Al Khaleej Saihat:Pedro Rebocho 1929 −1 for Ali Saeed Ali Al Shaafi 1418 +38* - 78'Musa Barrow 1961 +10 assist Saleh Al Amri 1680 +5
Al Khaleej Saihat:Musa Barrow 1961 +10 assist Saleh Al Amri 1680 +5 - Robin Kelder 1487 0 for Hossam Essadak 1437 −8*81'
Al-Fateh:Robin Kelder 1487 0 for Hossam Essadak 1437 −8* - 84'Joshua King 1909 +16 assist Mateo Benegas 1516 +47
Al Khaleej Saihat:Joshua King 1909 +16 assist Mateo Benegas 1516 +47 - Abdul Aziz Al-Fawaz 1653 0 for Abdulaziz Al-Suwailem 1576 086'
Al-Fateh:Abdul Aziz Al-Fawaz 1653 0 for Abdulaziz Al-Suwailem 1576 0 - Mihai Lixandru 1770 089'
Al-Fateh:Mihai Lixandru 1770 0 - 90+3'Omar Mascarell 1967 +31
Al Khaleej Saihat:Omar Mascarell 1967 +31
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 30% · 34%(Al-Fateh · draw · Al Khaleej Saihat)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Al-Fateh €1.3M, Al Khaleej Saihat €519K.
- Draw chance was 29%, above the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- All 11 of Al Khaleej Saihat's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Fateh
16th in Saudi Pro League · 6 pts from 9
- 15 OctWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1767
- 9 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1783
- 13 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League1742
- 9 SepLAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1699
- 5 SepDAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1720
Al Khaleej Saihat
11th in Saudi Pro League · 9 pts from 9
- 15 OctWAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1772
- 10 OctDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1789
- 12 SepDAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1813
- 7 SepDAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1799
- 3 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League1789
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | 6 /9 | 32.1 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 13th |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 /9 | 37.8 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Al-Fateh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1876

Al Khaleej Saihat · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1936
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Fateh: balanced profile (how Jamal Sellami plays) · Al Khaleej Saihat: balanced profile (how José Manuel Martins Teixeira Gomes plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.