Pro League · Regular Season - 13
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Al-Faisaly FC host Al Diriyah on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Faisaly FC 14%, draw 21%, Al Diriyah 65%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Faisaly FC €533K, Al Diriyah €4.2M.
- All 11 of Al-Faisaly FC's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Faisaly FC goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Al-Faisaly FC 1639 · Al Diriyah 2019
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Faisaly FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1939
Al Diriyah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2322
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Faisaly FC
15th in Saudi Pro League · 7 pts from 9
- 19 OctDAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1644
- 15 OctWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1677
- 11 SepLAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1649
- 8 SepDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1635
- 5 SepDAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1598
Al Diriyah
7th in Saudi Pro League · 15 pts from 10
- 20 OctWAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1934
- 17 OctDAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2024
- 9 OctLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League2044
- 13 SepDAbha Saudi Pro League2050
- 9 SepWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League2028
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Faisaly FC | 7 /9 | 26.2 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 18th |
| Al Diriyah | 15 /10 | 54.4 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · shot-heavy