Pro League · Regular Season - 13
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium
Al-Ettifaq host Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Ettifaq 11%, draw 18%, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 71%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Ettifaq €1.4M, Al-Hilal Saudi FC €10.1M.
- Saudi Pro League: Y. Bounou is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2420).
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Ettifaq goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–29%
- 0–39%
- 1–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–38%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Al-Ettifaq 1877 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2340
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Ettifaq · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1880
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.1 (Elite) · Elo 2496
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Ettifaq
8th in Saudi Pro League · 15 pts from 10
- 20 OctLAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1834
- 17 OctWNEOM Saudi Pro League1897
- 10 OctDAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1909
- 11 SepDAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1803
- 8 SepDAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1883
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2nd in Saudi Pro League · 24 pts from 9
- 19 OctWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2395
- 13 OctWAl Sadd AFC Champions League2326
- 10 OctWAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League2333
- 15 SepWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League2253
- 12 SepWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2357
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ettifaq | 15 /10 | 46.5 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 8th |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 24 /9 | 79.8 | 63% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Ettifaq: balanced profile (how A. Papastamatis plays) · Al-Hilal Saudi FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Simone Inzaghi plays)