Pro League · Regular Season - 12
Al Diriyah vs NEOM
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 14:50 UTC · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh
Al Diriyah host NEOM on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Diriyah 39%, draw 29%, NEOM 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Diriyah €4.0M, NEOM €2.2M.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Diriyah goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Al Diriyah 2006 · NEOM 1989
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Diriyah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2305
NEOM · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2238
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Diriyah
8th in Saudi Pro League · 12 pts from 9
- 17 OctDAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2024
- 9 OctLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League2044
- 13 SepDAbha Saudi Pro League2050
- 9 SepWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League2028
- 3 SepLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League2063
NEOM
5th in Saudi Pro League · 16 pts from 9
- 17 OctLAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1998
- 10 OctDAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2042
- 13 SepWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League1993
- 7 SepWAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League1920
- 3 SepWAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1904
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Diriyah | 12 /9 | 52.8 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7th |
| NEOM | 16 /9 | 54.8 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based