Pro League · Regular Season - 15
Al Diriyah vs Al-Fayha
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh
Al Diriyah host Al-Fayha on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Diriyah 61%, draw 23%, Al-Fayha 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Diriyah €3.8M, Al-Fayha €882K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Diriyah goals first.
- 1–012%
- 2–011%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 3–07%
- 0–07%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Al Diriyah 2002 · Al-Fayha 1752
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Diriyah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2107
Al-Fayha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1874
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Diriyah
8th in Saudi Pro League · 15 pts from 12
- 30 OctLNEOM Saudi Pro League2036
- 23 OctLAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1875
- 20 OctWAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1927
- 17 OctDAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2024
- 9 OctLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League2042
Al-Fayha
13th in Saudi Pro League · 11 pts from 12
- 31 OctWAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1722
- 22 OctDAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1732
- 19 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1727
- 15 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1753
- 11 OctDAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1796
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Diriyah | 15 /12 | 48.0 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 7th |
| Al-Fayha | 11 /12 | 31.8 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile