Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Al-Dhafra vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC · Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Madinat Zayed
Al-Dhafra host Al-Ittihad Kalba on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Dhafra 34%, draw 29%, Al-Ittihad Kalba 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Dhafra €558K, Al-Ittihad Kalba €648K.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Pro League average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Dhafra goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al-Dhafra 1583 · Al-Ittihad Kalba 1664
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Dhafra · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1341

Al-Ittihad Kalba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1727
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Dhafra
10th in Pro League · 6 pts from 6
- 16 OctWDubai United UAE Pro League1537
- 11 SepWHatta SC UAE Pro League1549
- 6 SepLAl Wahda FC UAE Pro League1537
- 29 AugLKhorfakkan UAE Pro League1516
- 5 MayDBaniyas SC UAE Pro League1555
Al-Ittihad Kalba
11th in Pro League · 5 pts from 6
- 18 OctDAl-Jazira UAE Pro League1638
- 11 SepWAjman UAE Pro League1645
- 4 SepLAl Ain UAE Pro League1620
- 11 MayLAl Nasr UAE Pro League1609
- 5 MayDKhorfakkan UAE Pro League1585
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Dhafra | 6 /6 | 13.0 | 0% | <1% | 28% | 11th |
| Al-Ittihad Kalba | 5 /6 | 13.9 | 0% | <1% | 24% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile