Stars League · Regular Season - 9
Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al-Arabi SC host Al Ahli Doha on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Stars League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Arabi SC 47%, draw 28%, Al Ahli Doha 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Arabi SC €1.0M, Al Ahli Doha €799K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Stars League): Al-Arabi SC rank #10 of 11, Al Ahli Doha #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Arabi SC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al-Arabi SC 1753 · Al Ahli Doha 1687
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Al-Arabi SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1730

Al Ahli Doha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 (Elite) · Elo 1812
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Arabi SC
4th in Stars League · 13 pts from 8
- 31 OctDAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1792
- 24 OctLAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1818
- 16 OctWAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1777
- 9 OctWAl Sadd Qatar Stars League1713
- 12 SepDQatar SC Qatar Stars League1703
Al Ahli Doha
5th in Stars League · 11 pts from 8
- 30 OctWAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1646
- 22 OctDAl-Gharafa Qatar Stars League1706
- 16 OctLAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1693
- 10 OctWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1650
- 11 SepLAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1652
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Arabi SC | 13 /8 | 17.5 | <1% | 61% | 0% | 4th |
| Al Ahli Doha | 11 /8 | 14.2 | 0% | 9% | 3% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Arabi SC: possession-based (how C. Contra plays) · Al Ahli Doha: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Nebojša Jovović plays)