Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Al Ain vs Al-Dhafra
Thu 19 Nov 2026 · 15:25 UTC · Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium, Al Ain
Al Ain host Al-Dhafra on Thu 19 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Ain 69%, draw 19%, Al-Dhafra 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Ain €2.2M, Al-Dhafra €540K.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Pro League average of 25% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Ain goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–08%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Al Ain 1931 · Al-Dhafra 1598
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Ain · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 2125
Al-Dhafra · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1341
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Ain
4th in Pro League · 13 pts from 6
- 2 NovWAl-Ittihad FC AFC Champions League1921
- 26 OctWTractor Sazi AFC Champions League1905
- 17 OctLShabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League1880
- 12 OctWAl Quwa Al Jawiya AFC Champions League1908
- 15 SepWAl-Nassr AFC Champions League1829
Al-Dhafra
10th in Pro League · 6 pts from 6
- 16 OctWDubai United UAE Pro League1537
- 11 SepWHatta SC UAE Pro League1549
- 6 SepLAl Wahda FC UAE Pro League1537
- 29 AugLKhorfakkan UAE Pro League1516
- 5 MayDBaniyas SC UAE Pro League1554
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ain | 13 /6 | 24.2 | 16% | 79% | 0% | 3rd |
| Al-Dhafra | 6 /6 | 12.7 | 0% | <1% | 20% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct