Pro League · Regular Season - 13
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah host Al Taawon on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Ahli Jeddah 76%, draw 15%, Al Taawon 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Ahli Jeddah €7.8M, Al Taawon €833K.
- Draw chance 15%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Ahli Jeddah goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2188 · Al Taawon 1763
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Ahli Jeddah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2237
Al Taawon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1875
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Ahli Jeddah
5th in Saudi Pro League · 18 pts from 9
- 19 OctWAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League2170
- 12 OctWAl-Wasl FC AFC Champions League2130
- 9 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League2150
- 19 SepLMamelodi Sundowns FIFA Intercontinental Cup2191
- 11 SepWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2157
Al Taawon
17th in Saudi Pro League · 4 pts from 10
- 20 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1705
- 17 OctDAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1691
- 14 OctWAl-Rayyan SC AFC Cup1604
- 11 OctLAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1767
- 12 SepLAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League1738
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 18 /9 | 65.4 | 1% | 63% | 0% | 4th |
| Al Taawon | 4 /10 | 29.8 | 0% | 0% | 34% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Ahli Jeddah: shot-heavy (how Marino Pusic plays) · Al Taawon: balanced profile (how Vuk Rašović plays)