Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Alinma Stadium, Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah host Al Khaleej Saihat on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Ahli Jeddah 72%, draw 18%, Al Khaleej Saihat 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Ahli Jeddah €8.4M, Al Khaleej Saihat €839K.
- Al Khaleej Saihat are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Ahli Jeddah goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 3–18%
- 1–08%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2186 · Al Khaleej Saihat 1814
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Ahli Jeddah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2237
Al Khaleej Saihat · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1967
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th in Saudi Pro League · 15 pts from 8
- 12 OctWAl-Wasl FC AFC Champions League2130
- 9 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League2150
- 19 SepLMamelodi Sundowns FIFA Intercontinental Cup2191
- 11 SepWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2157
- 8 SepLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League2193
Al Khaleej Saihat
10th in Saudi Pro League · 12 pts from 10
- 18 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League1641
- 15 OctWAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1772
- 10 OctDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1789
- 12 SepDAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1813
- 7 SepDAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1799
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 15 /8 | 67.2 | 2% | 76% | 0% | 4th |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 /10 | 39.8 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Ahli Jeddah: shot-heavy (how Marino Pusic plays) · Al Khaleej Saihat: balanced profile (how José Manuel Martins Teixeira Gomes plays)