Pro League · Regular Season - 14
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Faisaly FC
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah host Al-Faisaly FC on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Ahli Jeddah 82%, draw 12%, Al-Faisaly FC 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Ahli Jeddah €6.9M, Al-Faisaly FC €530K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Saudi Pro League matchday 14: 504 points.
- Draw chance 12%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- All 11 of Al-Faisaly FC's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Ahli Jeddah goals first.
- 3–010%
- 2–010%
- 3–18%
- 2–18%
- 4–08%
- 4–16%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2176 · Al-Faisaly FC 1672
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Ahli Jeddah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2127
Al-Faisaly FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1883
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th in Saudi Pro League · 21 pts from 11
- 2 NovDAl Sadd AFC Champions League2160
- 30 OctLAl Shabab Saudi Pro League2159
- 26 OctWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League2167
- 23 OctWAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League2168
- 19 OctWAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League2168
Al-Faisaly FC
15th in Saudi Pro League · 10 pts from 12
- 31 OctLAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1721
- 27 OctWAbha Saudi Pro League1664
- 23 OctLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1657
- 19 OctDAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1645
- 15 OctWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1677
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 21 /11 | 66.5 | <1% | 59% | 0% | 4th |
| Al-Faisaly FC | 10 /12 | 28.5 | 0% | 0% | 44% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: –