Stars League · Regular Season - 6
Al Ahli Doha 0–3 Al Wakrah
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Al Ahli DohaTeam 1646
Al WakrahTeam 1618Match story
Al Ahli Doha · draw · Al WakrahBefore kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Amine Zouhzouh 18' (pen)
- Amine Zouhzouh 62', 90'
We gave Al Ahli Doha 44% to win: Al Wakrah won.
- 18'Amine Zouhzouh 1827 +68 (pen.)
Al Wakrah:Amine Zouhzouh 1827 +68 (pen.) - Talal Al Shila 1400 −757'
Al Ahli Doha:Talal Al Shila 1400 −7 - Ghanem Al-Minhali 1603 −8* for Talal Al Shila 1400 −760'
Al Ahli Doha:Ghanem Al-Minhali 1603 −8* for Talal Al Shila 1400 −7 - 62'Amine Zouhzouh 1827 +68
Al Wakrah:Amine Zouhzouh 1827 +68 - 65'Mohamed Simo for Gelson Dala 1701 +23
Al Wakrah:Mohamed Simo for Gelson Dala 1701 +23 - Luiz Junior 1218 −11 for Driss Fettouhi 1684 −1077'
Al Ahli Doha:Luiz Junior 1218 −11 for Driss Fettouhi 1684 −10 - 79'Almahdi Ali 1536 0 for Ayoub Assal 1827 +19
Al Wakrah:Almahdi Ali 1536 0 for Ayoub Assal 1827 +19 - Ghanem Al-Minhali 1603 −8*83'
Al Ahli Doha:Ghanem Al-Minhali 1603 −8* - Jassem Mohammed 1729 −3 for Ahmed Reyed Mawla 1719 083'
Al Ahli Doha:Jassem Mohammed 1729 −3 for Ahmed Reyed Mawla 1719 0 - Younis Hussein Abdelrahman 1387 0 for Ismaeel Mohammad 1515 −983'
Al Ahli Doha:Younis Hussein Abdelrahman 1387 0 for Ismaeel Mohammad 1515 −9 - 90'Amine Zouhzouh 1827 +68 assist Murad Naji 1870 +10
Al Wakrah:Amine Zouhzouh 1827 +68 assist Murad Naji 1870 +10 - 90+2'Abdelrahman Zaky 1442 +1 for Nabil Irfan 1759 +29
Al Wakrah:Abdelrahman Zaky 1442 +1 for Nabil Irfan 1759 +29 - 90+2'Tamer Seyam 1186 −12* for Amine Zouhzouh 1827 +68
Al Wakrah:Tamer Seyam 1186 −12* for Amine Zouhzouh 1827 +68
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%(Al Ahli Doha · draw · Al Wakrah)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Al Ahli Doha €744K, Al Wakrah €767K.
- Home advantage made Al Ahli Doha the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Stars League): Al Ahli Doha ranked #1 of 11, Al Wakrah #9.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Ahli Doha
6th in Stars League · 7 pts from 5
- 10 OctWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1650
- 11 SepLAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1652
- 3 SepWQatar SC Qatar Stars League1631
- 27 AprWUMM Salal Qatar Stars League1670
- 3 AprDAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1677
Al Wakrah
9th in Stars League · 5 pts from 5
- 8 OctWAl-Gharafa Qatar Stars League1696
- 10 SepDAl Shamal Qatar Stars League1768
- 4 SepLLusail City Qatar Stars League1765
- 27 AprWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1702
- 3 AprWQatar SC Qatar Stars League1733
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 7 /5 | 14.8 | <1% | 21% | 10% | 6th |
| Al Wakrah | 5 /5 | 13.2 | 0% | 8% | 23% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Al Ahli Doha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.2 (Elite) · Elo 1792

Al Wakrah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1872
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Ahli Doha: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Borja Jiménez Sáez plays) · Al Wakrah: balanced profile (how Jose Luis Sierra Pando plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.