Stars League · Regular Season - 10
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Al Ahli Doha host Al Shamal on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Stars League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Ahli Doha 31%, draw 29%, Al Shamal 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Ahli Doha €693K, Al Shamal €1.5M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Stars League): Al Ahli Doha rank #1 of 11, Al Shamal #11.
- All 11 of Al Shamal's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Ahli Doha goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–28%
- 2–17%
- 0–16%
- 0–26%
- Other scores52%
Team Elo: Al Ahli Doha 1681 · Al Shamal 1823
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Ahli Doha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 (Good) · Elo 1792
Al Shamal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 2103
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Ahli Doha
7th in Stars League · 12 pts from 9
- 6 NovDAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1675
- 30 OctWAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1642
- 22 OctDAl-Gharafa Qatar Stars League1698
- 16 OctLAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1684
- 10 OctWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1642
Al Shamal
6th in Stars League · 12 pts from 9
- 7 NovWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1804
- 3 NovLEsteghlal FC AFC Champions League1848
- 30 OctLAl Sadd Qatar Stars League1801
- 27 OctWAl-Hilal Saudi FC AFC Champions League1825
- 23 OctLQatar SC Qatar Stars League1742
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 12 /9 | 14.1 | 0% | 7% | 6% | 8th |
| Al Shamal | 12 /9 | 14.7 | 0% | 13% | 2% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Ahli Doha: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Nebojša Jovović plays) · Al Shamal: balanced profile (how David Prats plays)