Stars League · Regular Season - 5
Al Ahli Doha 5–0 Al-Sailiya
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Al Ahli DohaTeam 1701Al-SailiyaTeam 1554- Naïm Sliti 16', 39'
- Julian Draxler 34'
- Benjamin Bourigeaud 48'
- Majed Mohammed 83' (og)
We gave Al Ahli Doha 53% to win: they did.
- Naïm Sliti –16'Al Ahli Doha:Naïm Sliti –
- Julian Draxler – assist Naïm Sliti –34'Al Ahli Doha:Julian Draxler – assist Naïm Sliti –
- Naïm Sliti –39'Al Ahli Doha:Naïm Sliti –
- 44'Younès Belhanda – for Moataz Bostami –Al-Sailiya:Younès Belhanda – for Moataz Bostami –
- 44'Mus'ab Al-Batat – for Raoul Danzabe Sanda –Al-Sailiya:Mus'ab Al-Batat – for Raoul Danzabe Sanda –
- Benjamin Bourigeaud – assist Julian Draxler –48'Al Ahli Doha:Benjamin Bourigeaud – assist Julian Draxler –
- 59'Salem Sultan Al-Sufiani – for Mohamed Taabouni –Al-Sailiya:Salem Sultan Al-Sufiani – for Mohamed Taabouni –
- 59'Joselu – for Matías Nani –Al-Sailiya:Joselu – for Matías Nani –
- Younis Hussein Abdelrahman – for Naïm Sliti –72'Al Ahli Doha:Younis Hussein Abdelrahman – for Naïm Sliti –
- William Troost-Ekong – for Ismaeel Mohammad –77'Al Ahli Doha:William Troost-Ekong – for Ismaeel Mohammad –
- Majed Mohammed – (own goal)83'Al Ahli Doha:Majed Mohammed – (own goal)
- Jassem Mohammed – for Ahmed Reyed Mawla –84'Al Ahli Doha:Jassem Mohammed – for Ahmed Reyed Mawla –
- Hamad Mansour – for Benjamin Bourigeaud –84'Al Ahli Doha:Hamad Mansour – for Benjamin Bourigeaud –
- Luiz Junior – for Driss Fettouhi –84'Al Ahli Doha:Luiz Junior – for Driss Fettouhi –
- 89'Mohab Mohammed Eissa – for Anwar El Ghazi –Al-Sailiya:Mohab Mohammed Eissa – for Anwar El Ghazi –
Before kick-off (provisional): 53% · 26% · 21%(Al Ahli Doha · draw · Al-Sailiya)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 5–0 had 1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Ahli Doha €707K, Al-Sailiya €445K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Ahli Doha
9th in Stars League · 4 pts from 4
- 11 SepLAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1652
- 3 SepWQatar SC Qatar Stars League1631
- 27 AprWUMM Salal Qatar Stars League1670
- 3 AprDAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1677
- 18 MarWAl-Gharafa Qatar Stars League1614
Al-Sailiya
12th in Stars League · 0 pts from 4
- 10 SepLAl Sadd Qatar Stars League1531
- 3 SepLAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1509
- 29 AugLAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1551
- 27 AprLAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1570
- 3 AprDAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1645
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 4 /4 | 13.7 | <1% | 14% | 20% | 7th |
| Al-Sailiya | 0 /4 | 6.8 | 0% | <1% | 89% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Ahli Doha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1915
Al-Sailiya · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1257
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –