Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
Akhmat host Rodina Moskva on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Akhmat 47%, draw 28%, Rodina Moskva 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Akhmat €971K, Rodina Moskva €713K.
- All 11 of Rodina Moskva's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Akhmat goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Akhmat 1685 · Rodina Moskva 1652
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Akhmat · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1693
Rodina Moskva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1666
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Akhmat
13th in Premier Liga · 11 pts from 11
- 18 OctLZenit Russia Premier League1721
- 11 OctDBaltika Russia Premier League1716
- 17 SepLAkron Russia Premier League1740
- 13 SepWDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League1723
- 7 SepDRubin Russia Premier League1721
Rodina Moskva
16th in Premier Liga · 6 pts from 11
- 19 OctDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1702
- 11 OctLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1698
- 16 SepDRubin Russia Premier League1666
- 11 SepLKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1632
- 6 SepLDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League1672
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat | 11 /11 | 32.7 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 11th |
| Rodina Moskva | 6 /11 | 26.8 | 0% | 0% | 64% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile