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Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Akhmat 0–0 Baltika

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Akhmat-Arena, Grozny

Akhmat crestAkhmatTeam 1673
0–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Baltika crestBaltikaTeam 1720

Match story

Akhmat · draw · Baltika

Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 30%

Live chances: Akhmat 0%, draw 100%, Baltika 0% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Akhmat 40%, draw 30%, Baltika 30%3' · 0–0 · Akhmat 40%, draw 30%, Baltika 30%4' · 0–0 · Akhmat 40%, draw 30%, Baltika 30%5' · 0–0 · Akhmat 40%, draw 30%, Baltika 30%6' · 0–0 · Akhmat 40%, draw 30%, Baltika 30%7' · 0–0 · Akhmat 39%, draw 30%, Baltika 30%8' · 0–0 · Akhmat 39%, draw 31%, Baltika 30%9' · 0–0 · Akhmat 39%, draw 31%, Baltika 30%10' · 0–0 · Akhmat 39%, draw 31%, Baltika 30%11' · 0–0 · Akhmat 39%, draw 31%, Baltika 30%12' · 0–0 · Akhmat 39%, draw 31%, Baltika 30%13' · 0–0 · Akhmat 39%, draw 31%, Baltika 30%14' · 0–0 · Akhmat 39%, draw 32%, Baltika 30%15' · 0–0 · Akhmat 38%, draw 32%, Baltika 30%16' · 0–0 · Akhmat 38%, draw 32%, Baltika 30%17' · 0–0 · Akhmat 38%, draw 32%, Baltika 30%18' · 0–0 · Akhmat 38%, draw 32%, Baltika 30%19' · 0–0 · Akhmat 38%, draw 32%, Baltika 30%20' · 0–0 · Akhmat 38%, draw 33%, Baltika 30%21' · 0–0 · Akhmat 38%, draw 33%, Baltika 29%22' · 0–0 · Akhmat 38%, draw 33%, Baltika 29%23' · 0–0 · Akhmat 37%, draw 33%, Baltika 29%24' · 0–0 · Akhmat 37%, draw 34%, Baltika 29%25' · 0–0 · Akhmat 37%, draw 34%, Baltika 29%26' · 0–0 · Akhmat 37%, draw 34%, Baltika 29%27' · 0–0 · Akhmat 37%, draw 34%, Baltika 29%28' · 0–0 · Akhmat 37%, draw 34%, Baltika 29%29' · 0–0 · Akhmat 37%, draw 35%, Baltika 29%30' · 0–0 · Akhmat 36%, draw 35%, Baltika 29%32' · 0–0 · Akhmat 36%, draw 35%, Baltika 29%33' · 0–0 · Akhmat 36%, draw 36%, Baltika 28%34' · 0–0 · Akhmat 36%, draw 36%, Baltika 28%35' · 0–0 · Akhmat 35%, draw 36%, Baltika 28%36' · 0–0 · Akhmat 35%, draw 37%, Baltika 28%37' · 0–0 · Akhmat 35%, draw 37%, Baltika 28%38' · 0–0 · Akhmat 35%, draw 37%, Baltika 28%39' · 0–0 · Akhmat 35%, draw 37%, Baltika 28%40' · 0–0 · Akhmat 34%, draw 38%, Baltika 28%41' · 0–0 · Akhmat 34%, draw 38%, Baltika 28%42' · 0–0 · Akhmat 34%, draw 38%, Baltika 27%43' · 0–0 · Akhmat 34%, draw 39%, Baltika 27%44' · 0–0 · Akhmat 34%, draw 39%, Baltika 27%45' · 0–0 · Akhmat 33%, draw 40%, Baltika 27%HT · 0–0 · Akhmat 33%, draw 41%, Baltika 27%47' · 0–0 · Akhmat 32%, draw 41%, Baltika 26%48' · 0–0 · Akhmat 32%, draw 42%, Baltika 26%49' · 0–0 · Akhmat 32%, draw 42%, Baltika 26%50' · 0–0 · Akhmat 31%, draw 43%, Baltika 26%51' · 0–0 · Akhmat 31%, draw 43%, Baltika 26%52' · 0–0 · Akhmat 31%, draw 44%, Baltika 25%53' · 0–0 · Akhmat 30%, draw 44%, Baltika 25%54' · 0–0 · Akhmat 30%, draw 45%, Baltika 25%55' · 0–0 · Akhmat 30%, draw 46%, Baltika 25%56' · 0–0 · Akhmat 29%, draw 46%, Baltika 24%57' · 0–0 · Akhmat 29%, draw 47%, Baltika 24%58' · 0–0 · Akhmat 28%, draw 48%, Baltika 24%59' · 0–0 · Akhmat 28%, draw 48%, Baltika 23%60' · 0–0 · Akhmat 28%, draw 49%, Baltika 23%61' · 0–0 · Akhmat 27%, draw 50%, Baltika 23%62' · 0–0 · Akhmat 27%, draw 51%, Baltika 23%63' · 0–0 · Akhmat 26%, draw 51%, Baltika 22%64' · 0–0 · Akhmat 26%, draw 52%, Baltika 22%65' · 0–0 · Akhmat 26%, draw 53%, Baltika 22%66' · 0–0 · Akhmat 25%, draw 54%, Baltika 21%67' · 0–0 · Akhmat 25%, draw 54%, Baltika 21%68' · 0–0 · Akhmat 24%, draw 55%, Baltika 20%69' · 0–0 · Akhmat 24%, draw 56%, Baltika 20%70' · 0–0 · Akhmat 23%, draw 57%, Baltika 20%71' · 0–0 · Akhmat 23%, draw 58%, Baltika 19%72' · 0–0 · Akhmat 22%, draw 59%, Baltika 19%73' · 0–0 · Akhmat 22%, draw 60%, Baltika 18%74' · 0–0 · Akhmat 21%, draw 61%, Baltika 18%75' · 0–0 · Akhmat 20%, draw 62%, Baltika 18%76' · 0–0 · Akhmat 20%, draw 63%, Baltika 17%77' · 0–0 · Akhmat 19%, draw 64%, Baltika 17%78' · 0–0 · Akhmat 19%, draw 65%, Baltika 16%79' · 0–0 · Akhmat 18%, draw 67%, Baltika 15%80' · 0–0 · Akhmat 17%, draw 68%, Baltika 15%81' · 0–0 · Akhmat 16%, draw 69%, Baltika 14%82' · 0–0 · Akhmat 16%, draw 71%, Baltika 14%84' · 0–0 · Akhmat 14%, draw 74%, Baltika 12%86' · 0–0 · Akhmat 12%, draw 77%, Baltika 11%87' · 0–0 · Akhmat 12%, draw 78%, Baltika 10%88' · 0–0 · Akhmat 11%, draw 80%, Baltika 9%89' · 0–0 · Akhmat 10%, draw 82%, Baltika 8%90' · 0–0 · Akhmat 8%, draw 84%, Baltika 7%90+1' · 0–0 · Akhmat 7%, draw 86%, Baltika 6%90+2' · 0–0 · Akhmat 6%, draw 88%, Baltika 5%90+3' · 0–0 · Akhmat 5%, draw 91%, Baltika 4%90+4' · 0–0 · Akhmat 4%, draw 93%, Baltika 3%90+5' · 0–0 · Akhmat 2%, draw 96%, Baltika 2%90+6' · 0–0 · Akhmat 1%, draw 99%, Baltika 1%90+7' · 0–0 · Akhmat 0%, draw 100%, Baltika 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Akhmat 40% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 32'Baltika:Chinonso Offor 1744 −7*
  2. 45'Baltika:Andrey Mendel 1753 −10* for Ilya Petrov 1740 −10*
  3. 45'Baltika:Brayan Gil 1890 +1 for Chinonso Offor 1744 −7*
  4. 49'Baltika:Ivan Belikov 1650 −6*
  5. 62'Baltika:Sergey Varatynov 1947 −7*
  6. 65'Baltika:Eduardo Anderson 1752 −7* for Sergey Varatynov 1947 −7*
  7. 68'Akhmat:Erald maksuti 1185 −8* for Mohamed Konate 1641 −9*
  8. 72'Baltika:Vladislav Pospelov 1536 −7* for Maksim Petrov 1860 −7*
  9. 74'Akhmat:Manuel Keliano 1567 −8* for Júlio Romão 1744 −9*
  10. 77'Akhmat:Manuel Keliano 1567 −8*
  11. 85'Baltika:Mikhail Ryadno 1673 −7* for Konstantin Shiltsov 1410 −5*
  12. 85'Baltika:Andrey Mendel 1753 −10*
  13. 88'Akhmat:Ismael Silva 1698 −12*
  14. 90+5'Akhmat:Klisman Cake 1724 −9*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations5-4-1
GV. Ulyanov1722−8*
DA. Adamov1669−8*
DT. Ibishev1680−8*
DK. Cake1724−9*
DM. Bogosavac1713−10*
MJúlio Romão1744−9*
MIsmael Silva Lima1698−12*
MK. Sidibé1684−9*
MEgas Cacintura1749−9*
ML. Sadulaev1737−9*
FM. Konaté1641−9*
CS. Cherchesov1736−8*
GE. Latyshonok2026−6*
DM. Beveev1865−9*
DS. Varatynov1947−7*
DL. Mouyokolo1661−6*
DN. Gassama1924−6*
DE. Ćivić1851−7*
MM. Petrov1860−7*
MI. Belikov1650−6*
MI. Petrov1740−10*
MK. Shiltsov1410−5*
FC. Offor1744−7*
CA. Talalaev1894−6*
Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 30%(Akhmat · draw · Baltika)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Akhmat €1.1M, Baltika €1.7M.
  • Akhmat were without 1 expected starter: G. Melkadze (1730).
  • Home advantage made Akhmat the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Premier Liga): Akhmat ranked #1 of 15, Baltika #12.
  • Baltika's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.5 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Akhmat

13th in Premier Liga · 10 pts from 9

  • 17 SepLAkron 1740
  • 13 SepWDinamo Makhachkala 1723
  • 7 SepDRubin 1721
  • 29 AugDKrylia Sovetov 1735
  • 22 AugWFC Rostov 1683

Baltika

10th in Premier Liga · 11 pts from 9

  • 16 SepLZenit 1784
  • 12 SepDFakel 1803
  • 6 SepLLokomotiv 1805
  • 30 AugWRodina Moskva 1775
  • 24 AugDRubin 1809

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Akhmat10 /935.10%<1%13%11th
Baltika11 /940.30%3%2%6th
Akhmat
Baltika

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Ismael Silva Lima
Ismael Silva Lima

Akhmat · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1709

E. Ćivić
E. Ćivić

Baltika · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1858

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Stanislav Cherchesov

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Andrey Talalaev

Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Akhmat: dribble-heavy (how Stanislav Cherchesov plays) · Baltika: direct (how Andrey Talalaev plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.