Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 24
AIK Stockholm 2–2 IFK Goteborg
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Strawberry Arena, Solna
AIK StockholmTeam 1636
IFK GoteborgTeam 1668Match story
AIK Stockholm · draw · IFK GoteborgBefore kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%
Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Diogo Tomas 36'
- axel kouame 75'
- Nino Žugelj 27'
- Alexander Simmelhack 68'
We gave AIK Stockholm 39% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 27'Nino Žugelj 1710 +2 assist Alexander Simmelhack 1541 +7
IFK Goteborg:Nino Žugelj 1710 +2 assist Alexander Simmelhack 1541 +7 - Diogo Tomas 1830 −5 assist Wilmer Olofsson 1424 036'
AIK Stockholm:Diogo Tomas 1830 −5 assist Wilmer Olofsson 1424 0 - 45'Kevin Ackermann 1601 +1 for Nino Žugelj 1710 +2
IFK Goteborg:Kevin Ackermann 1601 +1 for Nino Žugelj 1710 +2 - Sixten Gustafsson 1469 0 for Linus Carlstrand 1623 059'
AIK Stockholm:Sixten Gustafsson 1469 0 for Linus Carlstrand 1623 0 - 68'Alexander Simmelhack 1541 +7 assist Felix Eriksson 1647 −3*
IFK Goteborg:Alexander Simmelhack 1541 +7 assist Felix Eriksson 1647 −3* - linus jareteg 1375 −8* for Taha Ayari 1711 071'
AIK Stockholm:linus jareteg 1375 −8* for Taha Ayari 1711 0 - S. Wilson 1544 −8* for Lukas Bergquist 1570 071'
AIK Stockholm:S. Wilson 1544 −8* for Lukas Bergquist 1570 0 - axel kouame 1603 0 assist Johan Hove 1725 −175'
AIK Stockholm:axel kouame 1603 0 assist Johan Hove 1725 −1 - 82'Issaka Seidu 1405 −7* for Tobias Heintz 1724 0
IFK Goteborg:Issaka Seidu 1405 −7* for Tobias Heintz 1724 0 - Yannick Emilio Geiger 1619 0 for Lucas Assadi 1712 086'
AIK Stockholm:Yannick Emilio Geiger 1619 0 for Lucas Assadi 1712 0 - Herve Matthys 1728 −2 for Wilmer Olofsson 1424 087'
AIK Stockholm:Herve Matthys 1728 −2 for Wilmer Olofsson 1424 0 - 90+2'Emil Carl Olof Fasth 1418 0 for Felix Eriksson 1647 −3*
IFK Goteborg:Emil Carl Olof Fasth 1418 0 for Felix Eriksson 1647 −3*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%(AIK Stockholm · draw · IFK Goteborg)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: AIK Stockholm €718K, IFK Goteborg €707K.
- Home advantage made AIK Stockholm the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- IFK Goteborg had won their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AIK Stockholm
9th in Allsvenskan · 33 pts from 23
- 10 OctLIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1686
- 20 SepLHalmstad Allsvenskan1683
- 16 SepDMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1697
- 12 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1686
- 7 SepDMalmo FF Allsvenskan1662
IFK Goteborg
8th in Allsvenskan · 35 pts from 23
- 9 OctWVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1649
- 19 SepWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1663
- 12 SepWHalmstad Allsvenskan1649
- 7 SepWMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1619
- 30 AugWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1628
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 33 /23 | 42.9 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 9th |
| IFK Goteborg | 35 /23 | 43.8 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

AIK Stockholm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1725

IFK Goteborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1723
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AIK Stockholm: balanced profile (how José Luis Riveiro plays) · IFK Goteborg: balanced profile (how Joachim Bjorklund plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.