Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 26
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Strawberry Arena, Solna
AIK Stockholm host IF Elfsborg on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AIK Stockholm 37%, draw 29%, IF Elfsborg 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AIK Stockholm €621K, IF Elfsborg €759K.
- Home advantage makes AIK Stockholm the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Allsvenskan): AIK Stockholm rank #1 of 16, IF Elfsborg #14.
- IF Elfsborg's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AIK Stockholm goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: AIK Stockholm 1649 · IF Elfsborg 1707
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AIK Stockholm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1725
IF Elfsborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1772
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AIK Stockholm
9th in Allsvenskan · 34 pts from 24
- 17 OctDIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1666
- 10 OctLIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1686
- 20 SepLHalmstad Allsvenskan1683
- 16 SepDMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1697
- 12 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1686
IF Elfsborg
5th in Allsvenskan · 41 pts from 24
- 18 OctDSirius Allsvenskan1736
- 12 OctWHalmstad Allsvenskan1712
- 20 SepWDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1696
- 13 SepWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1676
- 6 SepLIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1691
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 34 /24 | 42.5 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 9th |
| IF Elfsborg | 41 /24 | 49.8 | 0% | 38% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AIK Stockholm: balanced profile (how José Luis Riveiro plays) · IF Elfsborg: direct (how Bjorn Hamberg plays)