Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 23
AIK Stockholm 5–6 IF Brommapojkarna
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Strawberry Arena, Solna
AIK StockholmTeam 1664
IF BrommapojkarnaTeam 1599Match story
AIK Stockholm · draw · IF BrommapojkarnaBefore kick-off: 47% · 27% · 26%
Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Abdihakin Ali 55'
- Taha Ayari 73'
- Sixten Gustafsson 81', 83'
- Johan Hove 90+7'
- Simon Strand 48'
- Kamilcan Sever 59', 65'
- Wilmer Odefalk 61'
- Anton Kurochkin 70'
We gave AIK Stockholm 47% to win: IF Brommapojkarna won.
- 28'Wilmer Odefalk 1650 +43*
IF Brommapojkarna:Wilmer Odefalk 1650 +43* - 48'Simon Strand 1633 +41*
IF Brommapojkarna:Simon Strand 1633 +41* - Abdihakin Ali 1651 −8* assist Johan Hove 1725 −21*55'
AIK Stockholm:Abdihakin Ali 1651 −8* assist Johan Hove 1725 −21* - 57'Mads Hansen 1743 +3*
IF Brommapojkarna:Mads Hansen 1743 +3* - Mads Thychosen 1733 −14*58'
AIK Stockholm:Mads Thychosen 1733 −14* - 59'Kamilcan Sever 1417 +74*
IF Brommapojkarna:Kamilcan Sever 1417 +74* - 61'Wilmer Odefalk 1650 +43* assist Leo Cavallius 1685 +35*
IF Brommapojkarna:Wilmer Odefalk 1650 +43* assist Leo Cavallius 1685 +35* - Lukas Bergquist 1571 −8* for Eskil Smidesang Edh 1715 −10*65'
AIK Stockholm:Lukas Bergquist 1571 −8* for Eskil Smidesang Edh 1715 −10* - Taha Ayari 1711 −10* for Yannick Emilio Geiger 1619 −8*65'
AIK Stockholm:Taha Ayari 1711 −10* for Yannick Emilio Geiger 1619 −8* - 65'Lukas Björklund 1517 −1* for Oliver Berg 1652 0*
IF Brommapojkarna:Lukas Björklund 1517 −1* for Oliver Berg 1652 0* - 65'Kamilcan Sever 1417 +74*
IF Brommapojkarna:Kamilcan Sever 1417 +74* - 70'Anton Kurochkin 1564 +63* assist Kamilcan Sever 1417 +74*
IF Brommapojkarna:Anton Kurochkin 1564 +63* assist Kamilcan Sever 1417 +74* - 72'David Isso 1461 −2* for Kamilcan Sever 1417 +74*
IF Brommapojkarna:David Isso 1461 −2* for Kamilcan Sever 1417 +74* - Taha Ayari 1711 −10* assist Lukas Bergquist 1571 −8*73'
AIK Stockholm:Taha Ayari 1711 −10* assist Lukas Bergquist 1571 −8* - Diogo Tomas 1835 −11* for Sebastian Lund Hausner 1562 −8*74'
AIK Stockholm:Diogo Tomas 1835 −11* for Sebastian Lund Hausner 1562 −8* - Sixten Gustafsson 1469 −8* for Linus Carlstrand 1623 −8*75'
AIK Stockholm:Sixten Gustafsson 1469 −8* for Linus Carlstrand 1623 −8* - 76'Pavle Vagic 1726 −6* for Jordan simpson 1600 +10*
IF Brommapojkarna:Pavle Vagic 1726 −6* for Jordan simpson 1600 +10* - Sixten Gustafsson 1469 −8*81'
AIK Stockholm:Sixten Gustafsson 1469 −8* - Sixten Gustafsson 1469 −8* assist Lucas Assadi 1712 −18*83'
AIK Stockholm:Sixten Gustafsson 1469 −8* assist Lucas Assadi 1712 −18* - Wilmer Olofsson 1424 −8* for Herve Matthys 1730 −15*90+2'
AIK Stockholm:Wilmer Olofsson 1424 −8* for Herve Matthys 1730 −15* - Johan Hove 1725 −21* assist Abdihakin Ali 1651 −8*90+7'
AIK Stockholm:Johan Hove 1725 −21* assist Abdihakin Ali 1651 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 47% · 27% · 26%(AIK Stockholm · draw · IF Brommapojkarna)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 5–6 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: AIK Stockholm €701K, IF Brommapojkarna €492K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AIK Stockholm
9th in Allsvenskan · 33 pts from 22
- 20 SepLHalmstad Allsvenskan1683
- 16 SepDMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1697
- 12 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1686
- 7 SepDMalmo FF Allsvenskan1662
- 30 AugWHammarby FF Allsvenskan1662
IF Brommapojkarna
11th in Allsvenskan · 27 pts from 22
- 19 SepLIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1622
- 13 SepLHammarby FF Allsvenskan1637
- 6 SepWIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1563
- 31 AugLGais Allsvenskan1584
- 23 AugWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1605
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 33 /22 | 44.8 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 8th |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 27 /22 | 36.9 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

AIK Stockholm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1747

IF Brommapojkarna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1678
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AIK Stockholm: balanced profile (how José Luis Riveiro plays) · IF Brommapojkarna: balanced profile (how Ulf Kristiansson plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.