Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 29
AIK Stockholm vs Degerfors IF
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Strawberry Arena, Solna
AIK Stockholm host Degerfors IF on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AIK Stockholm 62%, draw 23%, Degerfors IF 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AIK Stockholm €672K, Degerfors IF €277K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Allsvenskan matchday 29: 247 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AIK Stockholm goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: AIK Stockholm 1671 · Degerfors IF 1424
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AIK Stockholm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1795
Degerfors IF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1453
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AIK Stockholm
8th in Allsvenskan · 41 pts from 28
- 8 NovWBK Hacken Allsvenskan1641
- 2 NovLGais Allsvenskan1662
- 27 OctDIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1680
- 24 OctWSirius Allsvenskan1627
- 17 OctDIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1660
Degerfors IF
14th in Allsvenskan · 20 pts from 28
- 7 NovLGais Allsvenskan1435
- 1 NovLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1432
- 28 OctLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1426
- 24 OctLBK Hacken Allsvenskan1424
- 19 OctLKalmar FF Allsvenskan1450
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 41 /28 | 44.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
| Degerfors IF | 20 /28 | 22.2 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AIK Stockholm: balanced profile (how José Riveiro plays) · Degerfors IF: direct (how Henok Goitom plays)