Primera A · Clausura - 19
Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin
Thu 12 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Cincuentenario
Águilas Doradas host Independiente Medellin on Thu 12 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Águilas Doradas 45%, draw 28%, Independiente Medellin 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Águilas Doradas €331K, Independiente Medellin €411K.
- Home advantage makes Águilas Doradas the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Águilas Doradas goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Águilas Doradas 1658 · Independiente Medellin 1687
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Águilas Doradas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1736
Independiente Medellin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1681
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Águilas Doradas
12th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 27 OctWCucuta Colombia Primera A1647
- 24 OctLJunior Colombia Primera A1651
- 18 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1624
- 13 OctDBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1630
- 9 OctDAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1618
Independiente Medellin
11th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 25 OctLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1675
- 18 OctLOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1703
- 12 OctWAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1666
- 6 OctLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1668
- 30 SepDMillonarios Colombia Primera A1685
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas | 26 /19 | 30.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
| Independiente Medellin | 26 /19 | 31.9 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Águilas Doradas: balanced profile (how F. Robatto plays) · Independiente Medellin: possession-based (how L. Perea plays)