Primera A · Clausura - 17
Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 21:05 UTC · Estadio Cincuentenario
Águilas Doradas host Fortaleza FC on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Águilas Doradas 58%, draw 24%, Fortaleza FC 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Águilas Doradas €339K, Fortaleza FC €235K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Águilas Doradas goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Águilas Doradas 1642 · Fortaleza FC 1511
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Águilas Doradas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1715
Fortaleza FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1704
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Águilas Doradas
12th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 18 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1624
- 13 OctDBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1630
- 9 OctDAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1618
- 3 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1611
- 28 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1590
Fortaleza FC
15th in Primera A · 22 pts from 19
- 9 OctDMillonarios Colombia Primera A1485
- 4 OctDDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1460
- 27 SepDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1466
- 20 SepLJunior Colombia Primera A1468
- 11 SepDJaguares Colombia Primera A1485
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas | 26 /19 | 32.9 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 13th |
| Fortaleza FC | 22 /19 | 27.2 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Águilas Doradas: balanced profile (how Flavio Horacio Robatto plays) · Fortaleza FC: balanced profile (how Diego Arias plays)