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Primera A · Clausura - 15

Águilas Doradas 2–1 Deportes Tolima

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro

Águilas Doradas crestÁguilas DoradasTeam 1571
2–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Deportes Tolima crestDeportes TolimaTeam 1727

Match story

Águilas Doradas · draw · Deportes Tolima

Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%

Live chances: Águilas Doradas 100%, draw 0%, Deportes Tolima 0% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 36%2' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 36%3' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 36%4' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 36%5' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 36%6' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 36%7' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 36%8' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 36%9' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 36%10' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 36%11' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 36%12' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 36%13' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 36%14' · 0–0 · Águilas Doradas 34%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 35%15' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 61%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 15%16' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 61%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 15%17' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 61%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 15%18' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 80%, draw 15%, Deportes Tolima 6%20' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 80%, draw 15%, Deportes Tolima 6%20' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 62%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 15%21' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 62%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 15%22' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 62%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 14%23' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 62%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 14%24' · 1–0 · Águilas Doradas 62%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 14%25' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 33%, draw 32%, Deportes Tolima 35%26' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 33%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 34%27' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 33%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 34%28' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 33%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 34%29' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 33%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 34%30' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 33%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 34%31' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 33%, draw 34%, Deportes Tolima 34%32' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 32%, draw 34%, Deportes Tolima 34%33' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 32%, draw 34%, Deportes Tolima 34%34' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 32%, draw 34%, Deportes Tolima 34%35' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 32%, draw 34%, Deportes Tolima 33%36' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 32%, draw 35%, Deportes Tolima 33%37' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 32%, draw 35%, Deportes Tolima 33%39' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 32%, draw 35%, Deportes Tolima 33%40' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 31%, draw 36%, Deportes Tolima 33%41' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 31%, draw 36%, Deportes Tolima 33%43' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 31%, draw 37%, Deportes Tolima 32%44' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 31%, draw 37%, Deportes Tolima 32%45' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 31%, draw 37%, Deportes Tolima 32%45+1' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 31%, draw 38%, Deportes Tolima 32%45+2' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 38%, Deportes Tolima 32%45+3' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 38%, Deportes Tolima 31%45+4' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 38%, Deportes Tolima 31%45+5' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 38%, Deportes Tolima 31%HT · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 38%, Deportes Tolima 31%46' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 39%, Deportes Tolima 31%47' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 39%, Deportes Tolima 31%48' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 39%, Deportes Tolima 31%49' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 40%, Deportes Tolima 31%50' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 29%, draw 40%, Deportes Tolima 31%51' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 29%, draw 41%, Deportes Tolima 30%52' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 29%, draw 41%, Deportes Tolima 30%53' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 29%, draw 42%, Deportes Tolima 30%54' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 28%, draw 42%, Deportes Tolima 29%55' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 28%, draw 43%, Deportes Tolima 29%56' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 28%, draw 43%, Deportes Tolima 29%57' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 28%, draw 44%, Deportes Tolima 28%58' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 27%, draw 45%, Deportes Tolima 28%59' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 27%, draw 45%, Deportes Tolima 28%60' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 27%, draw 46%, Deportes Tolima 28%61' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 26%, draw 47%, Deportes Tolima 27%62' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 26%, draw 47%, Deportes Tolima 27%63' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 26%, draw 48%, Deportes Tolima 26%64' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 25%, draw 49%, Deportes Tolima 26%65' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 25%, draw 49%, Deportes Tolima 26%66' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 25%, draw 50%, Deportes Tolima 25%67' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 24%, draw 51%, Deportes Tolima 25%68' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 24%, draw 52%, Deportes Tolima 25%69' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 23%, draw 52%, Deportes Tolima 24%70' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 23%, draw 53%, Deportes Tolima 24%71' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 23%, draw 54%, Deportes Tolima 23%72' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 22%, draw 55%, Deportes Tolima 23%73' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 22%, draw 56%, Deportes Tolima 22%74' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 21%, draw 57%, Deportes Tolima 22%75' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 21%, draw 58%, Deportes Tolima 21%76' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 20%, draw 59%, Deportes Tolima 21%77' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 19%, draw 61%, Deportes Tolima 20%78' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 19%, draw 62%, Deportes Tolima 19%79' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 18%, draw 63%, Deportes Tolima 19%80' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 18%, draw 64%, Deportes Tolima 18%81' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 17%, draw 66%, Deportes Tolima 17%82' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 16%, draw 67%, Deportes Tolima 17%83' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 15%, draw 69%, Deportes Tolima 16%84' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 15%, draw 70%, Deportes Tolima 15%85' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 14%, draw 72%, Deportes Tolima 14%86' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 13%, draw 74%, Deportes Tolima 13%87' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 12%, draw 75%, Deportes Tolima 13%88' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 11%, draw 77%, Deportes Tolima 11%89' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 10%, draw 79%, Deportes Tolima 10%90' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 9%, draw 82%, Deportes Tolima 9%90+1' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 8%, draw 84%, Deportes Tolima 8%90+2' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 7%, draw 87%, Deportes Tolima 7%90+3' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 5%, draw 89%, Deportes Tolima 5%90+4' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 4%, draw 92%, Deportes Tolima 4%90+5' · 1–1 · Águilas Doradas 2%, draw 95%, Deportes Tolima 2%90+6' · 2–1 · Águilas Doradas 99%, draw 1%, Deportes Tolima 0%90+7' · 2–1 · Águilas Doradas 100%, draw 0%, Deportes Tolima 0%90+8' · 2–1 · Águilas Doradas 100%, draw 0%, Deportes Tolima 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Deportes Tolima 36% to win: Águilas Doradas won.

  1. 12'Deportes Tolima:Brayan Rovira 1769 −8
  2. 14'Águilas Doradas:Matías Ramírez 1717 +48 assist Andres Ricaurte 1639 +65
  3. 19'Deportes Tolima:Anderson Angulo 1788 −6
  4. 24'Deportes Tolima:Adrián Parra 1757 −15 assist Brayan Rovira 1769 −8
  5. 39'Águilas Doradas:Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos 1544 +15 for Junior Noguera 1403 +20
  6. 45+1'Águilas Doradas:Andres Mosquera 1578 +21
  7. 54'Deportes Tolima:Jherson Mosquera 1761 −2 for Anderson Angulo 1788 −6
  8. 68'Deportes Tolima:Kelvin Flórez 1772 −1 for Ever Valencia 1629 −2
  9. 68'Deportes Tolima:Jorge Hurtado 1511 0 for Edwar López 1716 −3
  10. 70'Águilas Doradas:John Ontaneda 1715 +16
  11. 77'Deportes Tolima:Adrián Parra 1757 −15
  12. 81'Águilas Doradas:Juan Camilo Roa 1567 −1 for Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos 1544 +15
  13. 81'Águilas Doradas:Nicolás Lara Vásquez 1560 +3 for Iván Rojas 1674 +18
  14. 81'Águilas Doradas:Eduar Arízalas for Matías Ramírez 1717 +48
  15. 86'Deportes Tolima:Junior Hernandez 1771 −6
  16. 87'Deportes Tolima:Jader Valencia 1716 0 for Luis Sandoval 1811 −10
  17. 87'Águilas Doradas:Andrés Lorenzo Carreño Zambrano 1134 −5* for Anthony Vásquez 1587 +29
  18. 87'Deportes Tolima:Victor Manuel Reyes Clavijo 1413 0 for Homer Martinez 1827 −12
  19. 90+4'Águilas Doradas:Jorge Soto 1748 +40 (pen.)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations5-3-2
GJ. Soto1748+40
DD. Lozano1666+23
DA. Mosquera1578+21
DJ. Ontaneda1715+16
DJ. Mena1742+16
MF. Lozano1685+16
MI. Rojas1674+18
MA. Vásquez1587+29
MA. Ricaurte1639+65
MM. Ramírez1717+48
FJunior Alexander Noguera Machuca1403+20
CF. Robatto1793+23
GNeto Volpi1753−6
DE. López1716−3
DJ. Angulo1803−9
DY. Osorio1857−26*
DA. Angulo1788−6
DJ. Hernández1771−6
MH. Martínez1827−12
ME. Valencia1629−2
MB. Rovira1769−8
FA. Parra1757−15
FL. Sandoval1811−10
CL. Suárez1769−10
Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%(Águilas Doradas · draw · Deportes Tolima)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Águilas Doradas €331K, Deportes Tolima €711K.
  • Home advantage made Águilas Doradas the favourite: it added 12 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Águilas Doradas

12th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19

  • 13 OctDBucaramanga 1630
  • 9 OctDAlianza Valledupar 1618
  • 3 OctWJaguares 1611
  • 28 SepLDeportivo Cali 1590
  • 24 SepLAmerica de Cali 1601

Deportes Tolima

6th in Primera A · 31 pts from 19

  • 11 OctLJaguares 1763
  • 8 OctDAtletico Nacional 1760
  • 3 OctDChico 1746
  • 27 SepDFortaleza FC 1747
  • 20 SepDAmerica de Cali 1750

Season outlook

From the Primera A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Águilas Doradas26 /1934.00%1%0%11th
Deportes Tolima31 /1938.80%24%0%6th
Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Ontaneda
J. Ontaneda

Águilas Doradas · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1699

A. Angulo
A. Angulo

Deportes Tolima · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1794

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Flavio Horacio Robatto

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Luis Fernando Suárez Guzman

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Águilas Doradas: balanced profile (how Flavio Horacio Robatto plays) · Deportes Tolima: possession-based (how Luis Fernando Suárez Guzman plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.