League One · Regular Season - 12
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Plough Lane, Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon host Mansfield Town on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AFC Wimbledon 35%, draw 29%, Mansfield Town 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AFC Wimbledon €305K, Mansfield Town €428K.
- All 11 of Mansfield Town's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AFC Wimbledon goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: AFC Wimbledon 1693 · Mansfield Town 1786
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AFC Wimbledon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1711
Mansfield Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1828
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AFC Wimbledon
15th in League One · 12 pts from 10
- 17 OctLSheffield Wednesday England League One1711
- 10 OctLPlymouth England League One1716
- 6 OctDBarnet England EFL Trophy1657
- 26 SepDCambridge United England League One1691
- 17 SepDMilton Keynes Dons England League One1744
Mansfield Town
13th in League One · 12 pts from 9
- 15 OctDOxford United England League One1800
- 10 OctWBromley England League One1778
- 6 OctLPort Vale England EFL Trophy1684
- 19 SepDBurton Albion England League One1741
- 12 SepDHuddersfield England League One1730
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 12 /10 | 52.1 | 0% | <1% | 28% | 22nd |
| Mansfield Town | 12 /9 | 59.4 | 1% | 4% | 6% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AFC Wimbledon: balanced profile (how Johnnie Jackson plays) · Mansfield Town: balanced profile (how Nigel Howard Clough plays)