League One · Regular Season - 15
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
AFC Wimbledon host Blackpool on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AFC Wimbledon 32%, draw 29%, Blackpool 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AFC Wimbledon €311K, Blackpool €626K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of League One matchday 15: 134 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AFC Wimbledon goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: AFC Wimbledon 1674 · Blackpool 1808
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AFC Wimbledon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1684
Blackpool · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1786
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AFC Wimbledon
17th in League One · 13 pts from 12
- 27 OctLArsenal U21 England EFL Trophy1614
- 24 OctDWycombe England League One1684
- 20 OctLMansfield Town England League One1657
- 17 OctLSheffield Wednesday England League One1711
- 10 OctLPlymouth England League One1716
Blackpool
20th in League One · 11 pts from 11
- 27 OctWAston Villa U21 England EFL Trophy1757
- 24 OctLMansfield Town England League One1805
- 20 OctWMilton Keynes Dons England League One1785
- 17 OctLLeyton Orient England League One1799
- 10 OctLCambridge United England League One1805
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 13 /12 | 48.5 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 23rd |
| Blackpool | 11 /11 | 58.1 | 0% | 2% | 6% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AFC Wimbledon: balanced profile (how Johnnie Jackson plays) · Blackpool: balanced profile (how I. Evatt plays)