1. Division · Regular Season - 11
AEL vs Olympiakos
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
AEL host Olympiakos on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AEL 53%, draw 26%, Olympiakos 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AEL €439K, Olympiakos €246K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AEL goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–011%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: AEL 1580 · Olympiakos 1416
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olympiakos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1510
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AEL
3rd in 1. Division · 18 pts from 9
- 7 NovWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1563
- 31 OctLOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1579
- 25 OctLAris Cypriot First Division1579
- 18 OctWOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1563
- 11 OctWOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1577
Olympiakos
9th in 1. Division · 9 pts from 9
- 7 NovWApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1394
- 30 OctLKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1398
- 24 OctDKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1420
- 19 OctDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1401
- 11 OctLAris Cypriot First Division1333
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 18 /9 | 41.3 | 1% | 17% | 0% | 7th |
| Olympiakos | 9 /9 | 24.8 | 0% | 0% | 34% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –