1. Division · Regular Season - 7
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · AEK Arena, Larnaca
AEK Larnaca host Omonia Nicosia on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AEK Larnaca 26%, draw 28%, Omonia Nicosia 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AEK Larnaca €540K, Omonia Nicosia €1.7M.
- 1. Division: Ľ. Šatka is the highest-rated defender (2084).
- Style contrast in chance creation (1. Division): AEK Larnaca rank #4 of 7, Omonia Nicosia #7.
- All 11 of AEK Larnaca's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Omonia Nicosia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AEK Larnaca goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: AEK Larnaca 1743 · Omonia Nicosia 1886
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AEK Larnaca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1882
Omonia Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 2084
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AEK Larnaca
2nd in 1. Division · 13 pts from 6
- 18 OctDAris Cypriot First Division1751
- 12 OctWOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1769
- 18 SepWOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1728
- 13 SepLPafos Cypriot First Division1710
- 6 SepWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1690
Omonia Nicosia
4th in 1. Division · 11 pts from 5
- 15 OctWCelje UEFA Europa League1894
- 9 OctWKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1890
- 20 SepWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1883
- 16 SepWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League1860
- 12 SepDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1860
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 13 /6 | 49.1 | 11% | 75% | 0% | 3rd |
| Omonia Nicosia | 11 /5 | 55.6 | 58% | 97% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AEK Larnaca: balanced profile (how Rubén Sellés Salvador plays) · Omonia Nicosia: balanced profile (how Henning Stille Berg plays)