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1. Division · Regular Season - 5

AEK Larnaca 1–0 Omonia Aradippou

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · AEK Arena, Larnaca

AEK Larnaca crestAEK LarnacaTeam 1714
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Omonia Aradippou crestOmonia AradippouTeam 1433

Match story

AEK Larnaca · draw · Omonia Aradippou

Before kick-off: 63% · 23% · 14%

Live chances: AEK Larnaca 98%, draw 1%, Omonia Aradippou 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 63%, draw 23%, Omonia Aradippou 14%2' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 62%, draw 24%, Omonia Aradippou 14%3' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 62%, draw 24%, Omonia Aradippou 14%5' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 62%, draw 24%, Omonia Aradippou 14%6' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 62%, draw 24%, Omonia Aradippou 14%8' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 61%, draw 25%, Omonia Aradippou 14%9' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 61%, draw 25%, Omonia Aradippou 14%11' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 60%, draw 25%, Omonia Aradippou 15%12' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 60%, draw 25%, Omonia Aradippou 15%13' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 60%, draw 26%, Omonia Aradippou 15%15' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 59%, draw 26%, Omonia Aradippou 15%16' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 59%, draw 26%, Omonia Aradippou 15%18' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 58%, draw 27%, Omonia Aradippou 15%19' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 58%, draw 27%, Omonia Aradippou 15%20' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 58%, draw 27%, Omonia Aradippou 15%22' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 57%, draw 28%, Omonia Aradippou 15%23' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 57%, draw 28%, Omonia Aradippou 15%24' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 57%, draw 28%, Omonia Aradippou 15%25' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 56%, draw 28%, Omonia Aradippou 15%27' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 56%, draw 29%, Omonia Aradippou 15%28' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 56%, draw 29%, Omonia Aradippou 15%29' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 55%, draw 29%, Omonia Aradippou 15%30' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 55%, draw 30%, Omonia Aradippou 15%31' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 55%, draw 30%, Omonia Aradippou 15%32' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 54%, draw 30%, Omonia Aradippou 16%33' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 54%, draw 31%, Omonia Aradippou 16%34' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 54%, draw 31%, Omonia Aradippou 16%35' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 53%, draw 31%, Omonia Aradippou 16%36' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 53%, draw 32%, Omonia Aradippou 16%37' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 52%, draw 32%, Omonia Aradippou 16%38' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 52%, draw 32%, Omonia Aradippou 16%39' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 52%, draw 33%, Omonia Aradippou 16%40' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 51%, draw 33%, Omonia Aradippou 16%41' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 51%, draw 33%, Omonia Aradippou 16%42' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 51%, draw 34%, Omonia Aradippou 16%43' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 50%, draw 34%, Omonia Aradippou 16%44' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 50%, draw 34%, Omonia Aradippou 16%45' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 49%, draw 35%, Omonia Aradippou 16%45+1' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 49%, draw 35%, Omonia Aradippou 16%HT · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 48%, draw 36%, Omonia Aradippou 16%46' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 48%, draw 37%, Omonia Aradippou 16%47' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 47%, draw 37%, Omonia Aradippou 16%48' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 47%, draw 37%, Omonia Aradippou 16%49' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 46%, draw 38%, Omonia Aradippou 16%50' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 46%, draw 39%, Omonia Aradippou 16%51' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 45%, draw 39%, Omonia Aradippou 16%52' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 45%, draw 40%, Omonia Aradippou 16%53' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 44%, draw 40%, Omonia Aradippou 16%54' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 43%, draw 41%, Omonia Aradippou 15%55' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 43%, draw 42%, Omonia Aradippou 15%56' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 42%, draw 43%, Omonia Aradippou 15%57' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 41%, draw 43%, Omonia Aradippou 15%58' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 41%, draw 44%, Omonia Aradippou 15%59' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 40%, draw 45%, Omonia Aradippou 15%60' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 39%, draw 46%, Omonia Aradippou 15%61' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 39%, draw 46%, Omonia Aradippou 15%62' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 38%, draw 47%, Omonia Aradippou 15%63' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 37%, draw 48%, Omonia Aradippou 15%64' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 37%, draw 49%, Omonia Aradippou 15%65' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 36%, draw 50%, Omonia Aradippou 14%66' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 35%, draw 50%, Omonia Aradippou 14%67' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 35%, draw 51%, Omonia Aradippou 14%68' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 34%, draw 52%, Omonia Aradippou 14%69' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 33%, draw 53%, Omonia Aradippou 14%70' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 32%, draw 54%, Omonia Aradippou 13%71' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 32%, draw 55%, Omonia Aradippou 13%72' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 31%, draw 56%, Omonia Aradippou 13%73' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 30%, draw 57%, Omonia Aradippou 13%74' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 29%, draw 58%, Omonia Aradippou 13%75' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 28%, draw 59%, Omonia Aradippou 12%76' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 27%, draw 61%, Omonia Aradippou 12%77' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 26%, draw 62%, Omonia Aradippou 12%78' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 25%, draw 63%, Omonia Aradippou 11%79' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 24%, draw 65%, Omonia Aradippou 11%80' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 23%, draw 66%, Omonia Aradippou 11%81' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 22%, draw 67%, Omonia Aradippou 10%82' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 21%, draw 69%, Omonia Aradippou 10%83' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 20%, draw 70%, Omonia Aradippou 9%84' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 19%, draw 72%, Omonia Aradippou 9%85' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 18%, draw 74%, Omonia Aradippou 9%86' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 17%, draw 75%, Omonia Aradippou 8%87' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 16%, draw 77%, Omonia Aradippou 8%88' · 0–0 · AEK Larnaca 14%, draw 79%, Omonia Aradippou 7%89' · 1–0 · AEK Larnaca 94%, draw 6%, Omonia Aradippou 0%90' · 1–0 · AEK Larnaca 94%, draw 6%, Omonia Aradippou 0%90+1' · 1–0 · AEK Larnaca 95%, draw 5%, Omonia Aradippou 0%90+2' · 1–0 · AEK Larnaca 96%, draw 4%, Omonia Aradippou 0%90+3' · 1–0 · AEK Larnaca 97%, draw 3%, Omonia Aradippou 0%90+4' · 1–0 · AEK Larnaca 98%, draw 2%, Omonia Aradippou 0%90+5' · 1–0 · AEK Larnaca 98%, draw 1%, Omonia Aradippou 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave AEK Larnaca 63% to win: they did.

  1. 24'AEK Larnaca:Mike Van der Hoorn 1888 −4*
  2. 43'Omonia Aradippou:Giorgos Pontikos 1529 −9*
  3. 60'AEK Larnaca:Kerim Mrabti 1754 for Đorđe Ivanović 1752 +4*
  4. 60'AEK Larnaca:Enric Saborit 1748 for Mike Van der Hoorn 1888 −4*
  5. 69'AEK Larnaca: (penalty missed)
  6. 70'Omonia Aradippou:evripidou evripidou for Niko Havelka 1533 −10*
  7. 75'Omonia Aradippou:curtis makosso 1208 for Giorgos Pontikos 1529 −9*
  8. 75'AEK Larnaca:Jorge Miramón 1603 for Kostas Pileas 1712 +16
  9. 83'Omonia Aradippou:Helaku Josué Schmidt 1141 for Achraf bouchataoui el 1518 −9*
  10. 83'Omonia Aradippou:Ange-Freddy Plumain 1428 for Bogdan·Petrovic 1334 −8*
  11. 83'AEK Larnaca:Giorgos Naoum 1601 for Amor Layouni 1698 +3*
  12. 83'AEK Larnaca:Nicolas Andereggen 1470 for Jan Repas 1707 +7*
  13. 88'Omonia Aradippou:Jeremy van Mullem 1633 −14*
  14. 89'AEK Larnaca:Nicolas Andereggen 1470

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

DM. Antoniou1557−14*
DA. Christofi1308−8*
DV. De Marco1421−13*
MA. El Bouchataoui1518−9*
DUnai García1459−14*
MN. Havelka1533−10*
FM. Koumouris1343−11*
FBogdan Petrovic1334−8*
FG. Pontikos1529−9*
MJ. van Mullem1633−14*
GŽ. Živković1380−13*
CG. Okkas1524−9*
Before kick-off: 63% · 23% · 14%(AEK Larnaca · draw · Omonia Aradippou)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the result 1–0 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: AEK Larnaca €576K, Omonia Aradippou €233K.
  • Omonia Aradippou were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

AEK Larnaca

4th in 1. Division · 9 pts from 4

  • 18 SepWOmonia 29is Maiou 1728
  • 13 SepLPafos 1710
  • 6 SepWNea Salamis 1690
  • 29 AugWApoel Nicosia 1685
  • 30 JulWBeitar Jerusalem 1664

Omonia Aradippou

8th in 1. Division · 6 pts from 4

  • 20 SepDOlympiakos 1482
  • 12 SepDKarmiotissa 1443
  • 5 SepWKrasava Ypsonas 1424
  • 31 AugDOmonia Nicosia 1388
  • 15 MayWEthnikos Achna 1386

Season outlook

From the 1. Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
AEK Larnaca9 /448.513%72%0%3rd
Omonia Aradippou6 /429.00%<1%13%9th
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. van der Hoorn
M. van der Hoorn

AEK Larnaca · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1891

Bogdan Petrovic
Bogdan Petrovic

Omonia Aradippou · -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1342

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Rubén Sellés Salvador

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Giannis Okkas

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.