1. Division · Regular Season - 11
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · AEK Arena, Larnaca
AEK Larnaca host Apollon Limassol on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AEK Larnaca 39%, draw 29%, Apollon Limassol 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AEK Larnaca €600K, Apollon Limassol €825K.
- 1. Division: A. Paleari is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1988).
- Style contrast in attacking (1. Division): AEK Larnaca rank #4 of 9, Apollon Limassol #9.
- All 11 of Apollon Limassol's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- AEK Larnaca are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AEK Larnaca goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 0–08%
- 1–28%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: AEK Larnaca 1764 · Apollon Limassol 1747
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AEK Larnaca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1716
Apollon Limassol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1819
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AEK Larnaca
1st in 1. Division · 20 pts from 9
- 6 NovWKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1743
- 31 OctDKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1790
- 26 OctWOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1754
- 18 OctDAris Cypriot First Division1752
- 12 OctWOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1769
Apollon Limassol
5th in 1. Division · 16 pts from 9
- 7 NovLOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1764
- 31 OctDPafos Cypriot First Division1781
- 17 OctWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1776
- 10 OctWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1749
- 19 SepDApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1745
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 20 /9 | 51.2 | 26% | 86% | 0% | 2nd |
| Apollon Limassol | 16 /9 | 47.0 | 8% | 62% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AEK Larnaca: balanced profile (how Rubén Sellés plays) · Apollon Limassol: balanced profile (how H. Losada plays)