Super League 1 · Regular Season - 8
AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Allwyn Arena, Athens
AEK Athens FC host Panetolikos on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AEK Athens FC 74%, draw 16%, Panetolikos 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AEK Athens FC €4.7M, Panetolikos €720K.
- Draw chance 16%, below the Super League 1 average of 25% this round.
- Super League 1: L. Jović is the highest-rated forward (2133).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Super League 1): AEK Athens FC rank #1 of 14, Panetolikos #14.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AEK Athens FC goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–18%
- 1–07%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: AEK Athens FC 2067 · Panetolikos 1667
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AEK Athens FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2219
Panetolikos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1764
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AEK Athens FC
4th in Super League 1 · 14 pts from 6
- 14 OctLShakhtar Donetsk UEFA Champions League2104
- 10 OctWOFI Greece Super League2078
- 20 SepWVolos NFC Greece Super League2039
- 13 SepDAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League2063
- 8 SepWLask Linz UEFA Champions League2092
Panetolikos
9th in Super League 1 · 9 pts from 7
- 18 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League1608
- 11 OctLKifisia Greece Super League1652
- 20 SepLPAOK Greece Super League1650
- 13 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1713
- 6 SepWLevadiakos Greece Super League1687
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 14 /6 | 51.4 | 17% | 93% | 0% | 3rd |
| Panetolikos | 9 /7 | 29.0 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AEK Athens FC: creative · possession-based (how Marko Nikolić plays) · Panetolikos: balanced profile (how Yannis Anastasiou plays)