Super League 1 · Regular Season - 10
AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Allwyn Arena, Athens
AEK Athens FC host Levadiakos on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AEK Athens FC 76%, draw 16%, Levadiakos 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AEK Athens FC €5.3M, Levadiakos €815K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Super League 1 matchday 10: 416 points.
- Draw chance 16%, below the Super League 1 average of 25% this round.
- Super League 1: L. Jović is the highest-rated forward (2128).
- AEK Athens FC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AEK Athens FC goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: AEK Athens FC 2078 · Levadiakos 1662
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AEK Athens FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2211
Levadiakos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1802
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AEK Athens FC
4th in Super League 1 · 14 pts from 6
- 20 OctLManchester City UEFA Champions League2083
- 14 OctLShakhtar Donetsk UEFA Champions League2104
- 10 OctWOFI Greece Super League2078
- 20 SepWVolos NFC Greece Super League2039
- 13 SepDAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League2063
Levadiakos
13th in Super League 1 · 2 pts from 7
- 17 OctDVolos NFC Greece Super League1631
- 11 OctLIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1657
- 20 SepLOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League1656
- 13 SepDKifisia Greece Super League1693
- 6 SepLPanetolikos Greece Super League1686
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 14 /6 | 52.2 | 18% | 95% | 0% | 3rd |
| Levadiakos | 2 /7 | 21.9 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AEK Athens FC: creative · possession-based (how Marko Nikolić plays) · Levadiakos: balanced profile (how Ilias Charalampous plays)