Eredivisie · Regular Season - 12
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
ADO Den Haag host Sparta Rotterdam on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ADO Den Haag 43%, draw 28%, Sparta Rotterdam 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ADO Den Haag €990K, Sparta Rotterdam €1.0M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Eredivisie): ADO Den Haag rank #18 of 18, Sparta Rotterdam #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ADO Den Haag goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: ADO Den Haag 1762 · Sparta Rotterdam 1738
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ADO Den Haag · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1866
Sparta Rotterdam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1555
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ADO Den Haag
17th in Eredivisie · 6 pts from 9
- 17 OctWPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1745
- 11 OctDTelstar Eredivisie1763
- 19 SepDCambuur Eredivisie1758
- 12 SepLTwente Eredivisie1739
- 6 SepLFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1788
Sparta Rotterdam
13th in Eredivisie · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctWWillem II Eredivisie1678
- 10 OctDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1681
- 19 SepLHeerenveen Eredivisie1735
- 13 SepLPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1758
- 4 SepDPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1777
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 6 /9 | 35.3 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 14th |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 9 /9 | 35.5 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ADO Den Haag: balanced profile (how Robin Peter plays) · Sparta Rotterdam: balanced profile (how Rogier Meijer plays)