Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Bingoal Stadion, The Hague
ADO Den HaagTeam 1720
PSV EindhovenTeam 2145Match story
ADO Den Haag · draw · PSV EindhovenBefore kick-off: 15% · 19% · 67%
Last reading, 90+5': 97% · 3% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Sven Mijnans 21'
We gave PSV Eindhoven 67% to win: ADO Den Haag won.
- 21'Sven Mijnans 2109 0 assist Guus Til 2290 −17
PSV Eindhoven:Sven Mijnans 2109 0 assist Guus Til 2290 −17 - 38'Sven Mijnans 2109 0
PSV Eindhoven:Sven Mijnans 2109 0 - 40'Mikkel Bro Hansen 1534 0 for Guus Til 2290 −17
PSV Eindhoven:Mikkel Bro Hansen 1534 0 for Guus Til 2290 −17 - Sekou Sylla 1838 +942'
ADO Den Haag:Sekou Sylla 1838 +9 - 43'Sven Mijnans 2109 0
PSV Eindhoven:Sven Mijnans 2109 0 - Matěj Šín 1721 +49 for Jan Zamburek 1683 +1945'
ADO Den Haag:Matěj Šín 1721 +49 for Jan Zamburek 1683 +19 - Othniël Raterink 1655 +21 for Sekou Sylla 1838 +945'
ADO Den Haag:Othniël Raterink 1655 +21 for Sekou Sylla 1838 +9 - 45'Ryan Flamingo 2292 −6 for Dennis Man 2155 −1
PSV Eindhoven:Ryan Flamingo 2292 −6 for Dennis Man 2155 −1 - Jalen Hawkins 1729 +16 for Lasse Wilhelm 1638 +14*45'
ADO Den Haag:Jalen Hawkins 1729 +16 for Lasse Wilhelm 1638 +14* - Juho Kilo 1866 +58 assist Yannick Fereira Eduardo 1709 +3755'
ADO Den Haag:Juho Kilo 1866 +58 assist Yannick Fereira Eduardo 1709 +37 - 58'Amir Bouhamdi 1642 −8* for Ayoni Santos 1720 0
PSV Eindhoven:Amir Bouhamdi 1642 −8* for Ayoni Santos 1720 0 - Daryl van Mieghem 1671 +18 for Jesse Bal 1748 +14*66'
ADO Den Haag:Daryl van Mieghem 1671 +18 for Jesse Bal 1748 +14* - Othniël Raterink 1655 +2169'
ADO Den Haag:Othniël Raterink 1655 +21 - 69'Shuryjano Cornecion 1361 0 for Mauro Júnior 2301 −11
PSV Eindhoven:Shuryjano Cornecion 1361 0 for Mauro Júnior 2301 −11 - Alejandro Pozo for Jonas Jensen-Abbew 1576 +4270'
ADO Den Haag:Alejandro Pozo for Jonas Jensen-Abbew 1576 +42 - Pascal Mulder 1857 +2473'
ADO Den Haag:Pascal Mulder 1857 +24 - Matěj Šín 1721 +49 assist Evan Rottier 1878 +5390+3'
ADO Den Haag:Matěj Šín 1721 +49 assist Evan Rottier 1878 +53
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 15% · 19% · 67%(ADO Den Haag · draw · PSV Eindhoven)
Our most likely score was 1–2 (9%); the result 2–1 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: ADO Den Haag €888K, PSV Eindhoven €8.4M.
- ADO Den Haag were without 1 expected starter: M. Hokke (1819).
- PSV Eindhoven were without 1 expected starter: R. Pepi (2258).
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eredivisie matchday 9: 432 points.
- Eredivisie: M. Kovář was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2299).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ADO Den Haag
17th in Eredivisie · 3 pts from 8
- 11 OctDTelstar Eredivisie1763
- 19 SepDCambuur Eredivisie1758
- 12 SepLTwente Eredivisie1739
- 6 SepLFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1788
- 30 AugDFeyenoord Eredivisie1778
PSV Eindhoven
2nd in Eredivisie · 19 pts from 8
- 13 OctLRB Leipzig UEFA Champions League2208
- 9 OctWHeerenveen Eredivisie2206
- 20 SepLTwente Eredivisie2259
- 13 SepWSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie2182
- 10 SepDShakhtar Donetsk UEFA Champions League2214
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 3 /8 | 32.1 | 0% | 0% | 45% | 17th |
| PSV Eindhoven | 19 /8 | 74.1 | 58% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

ADO Den Haag · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1808

PSV Eindhoven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2386
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ADO Den Haag: balanced profile (how Robin Peter plays) · PSV Eindhoven: possession-based · creative (how Peter Bosz plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.