A-League · Regular Season - 4
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 06:00 UTC · Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
Adelaide United host Melbourne Victory on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Adelaide United 32%, draw 29%, Melbourne Victory 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Adelaide United €422K, Melbourne Victory €480K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (A-League): Adelaide United rank #10 of 12, Melbourne Victory #2.
- R. Kitto (Adelaide United) has not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Adelaide United goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Adelaide United 1589 · Melbourne Victory 1651
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Adelaide United from last season's line-ups (latest 15 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Adelaide United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1641
Melbourne Victory · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1739
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Adelaide United
9th in A-League · 0 pts from 0
- 15 OctWBG Pathum United AFC Cup1569
- 11 AugLCông An Nhân Dân AFC Champions League1615
- 15 MayLAuckland A-League1649
- 9 MayDAuckland A-League1645
- 26 AprWMelbourne City A-League1615
Melbourne Victory
10th in A-League · 0 pts from 1
- 18 OctLWellington Phoenix A-League1673
- 14 OctWFC Seoul AFC Cup1627
- 2 MayLSydney A-League1703
- 25 AprWWestern Sydney Wanderers A-League1713
- 17 AprDNewcastle Jets A-League1690
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 0 /0 | 35.8 | 8% | 36% | 17% | 5th |
| Melbourne Victory | 0 /1 | 38.8 | 16% | 55% | 8% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Adelaide United: balanced profile (how Airton Andrioli plays) · Melbourne Victory: creative (how G. Savarese plays)