Segunda División · Regular Season - 12
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
AD Ceuta FC host Sporting Gijon on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AD Ceuta FC 27%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 45%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AD Ceuta FC €422K, Sporting Gijon €1.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AD Ceuta FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: AD Ceuta FC 1618 · Sporting Gijon 1855
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AD Ceuta FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1762
Sporting Gijon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1954
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AD Ceuta FC
21st in Segunda División · 5 pts from 10
- 18 OctLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1646
- 10 OctLSabadell Spain Segunda Division1558
- 4 OctDCastellón Spain Segunda Division1559
- 26 SepWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1568
- 20 SepDValladolid Spain Segunda Division1551
Sporting Gijon
4th in Segunda División · 19 pts from 10
- 17 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1826
- 11 OctWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1798
- 4 OctWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1809
- 27 SepLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1877
- 19 SepWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1849
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC | 5 /10 | 37.5 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 22nd |
| Sporting Gijon | 19 /10 | 68.9 | 5% | 33% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
AD Ceuta FC: balanced profile (how José Juan Romero Gil plays) · Sporting Gijon: balanced profile (how Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón plays)