FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Accrington ST vs Wycombe
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Wham Stadium, Accrington
Accrington ST host Wycombe on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Accrington ST 25%, draw 27%, Wycombe 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Accrington ST €164K, Wycombe €596K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the FA Cup 1/128-finals: 266 points.
- Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Accrington ST goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: Accrington ST 1549 · Wycombe 1815
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Accrington ST · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1589
Wycombe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1741
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Accrington ST
9th in League Two · 18 pts from 13
- 24 OctWRochdale England League Two1529
- 20 OctDYork England League Two1525
- 17 OctWGillingham England League Two1484
- 10 OctDOldham England League Two1463
- 6 OctDSalford City England EFL Trophy1438
Wycombe
15th in League One · 15 pts from 12
- 24 OctDAFC Wimbledon England League One1833
- 20 OctDCambridge United England League One1830
- 17 OctWNotts County England League One1816
- 10 OctLLuton England League One1813
- 6 OctWBristol Rovers England EFL Trophy1637
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Accrington ST: direct (how John Doolan plays) · Wycombe: balanced profile (how Tom Hounsell plays)