League Two · Regular Season - 16
Accrington ST vs Salford City
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Wham Stadium, Accrington
Accrington ST host Salford City on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Accrington ST 20%, draw 25%, Salford City 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Accrington ST €158K, Salford City €521K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of League Two matchday 16: 305 points.
- League Two: W. Norris is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1911).
- All 11 of Salford City's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Accrington ST goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–07%
- 1–06%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Accrington ST 1548 · Salford City 1853
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Accrington ST · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1420
Salford City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1819
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Accrington ST
9th in League Two · 19 pts from 14
- 11 NovWSheffield Wednesday England EFL Trophy1384
- 7 NovLWycombe England FA Cup1550
- 31 OctDNorthampton England League Two1557
- 24 OctWRochdale England League Two1523
- 20 OctDYork England League Two1520
Salford City
1st in League Two · 31 pts from 14
- 7 NovLCarlisle England FA Cup1774
- 31 OctWExeter City England League Two1832
- 26 OctWWalsall England League Two1845
- 20 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1808
- 17 OctWCrawley Town England League Two1812
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 19 /14 | 54.3 | 0% | 1% | 25% | 22nd |
| Salford City | 31 /14 | 90.1 | 83% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Accrington ST: direct (how John Doolan plays) · Salford City: dribble-heavy (how Peter Cklamovski plays)