League Two · Regular Season - 14
Accrington ST vs Northampton
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Wham Stadium, Accrington
Accrington ST host Northampton on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Accrington ST 33%, draw 29%, Northampton 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Accrington ST €150K, Northampton €312K.
- League Two: O. Dale is the highest-rated forward (1920).
- Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Accrington ST goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Accrington ST 1506 · Northampton 1611
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Accrington ST · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1576
Northampton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1737
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Accrington ST
10th in League Two · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctWGillingham England League Two1484
- 10 OctDOldham England League Two1463
- 6 OctDSalford City England EFL Trophy1438
- 3 OctWCheltenham England League Two1436
- 26 SepDSwindon Town England League Two1424
Northampton
22nd in League Two · 10 pts from 9
- 17 OctWGrimsby England League Two1529
- 10 OctDYork England League Two1523
- 6 OctLCambridge United England EFL Trophy1484
- 19 SepLRotherham England League Two1600
- 12 SepLShrewsbury England League Two1506
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 14 /11 | 51.4 | 0% | <1% | 40% | 24th |
| Northampton | 10 /9 | 56.2 | 0% | 2% | 18% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Accrington ST: direct (how John Doolan plays) · Northampton: direct (how Chris Hogg plays)