Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10
Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Academico Viseu host Rio Ave on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Primeira Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Academico Viseu 41%, draw 29%, Rio Ave 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Academico Viseu €725K, Rio Ave €985K.
- Home advantage makes Academico Viseu the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Primeira Liga average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Academico Viseu goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Academico Viseu 1710 · Rio Ave 1723
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Academico Viseu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1615
Rio Ave · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1762
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Academico Viseu
6th in Primeira Liga · 14 pts from 8
- 10 OctWEstoril Primeira Liga1701
- 20 SepWEstrela Primeira Liga1665
- 12 SepWVitória SC Primeira Liga1623
- 6 SepWGIL Vicente Primeira Liga1653
- 29 AugLFC Porto Primeira Liga1616
Rio Ave
14th in Primeira Liga · 7 pts from 8
- 11 OctWNacional Primeira Liga1666
- 19 SepLAlverca Primeira Liga1664
- 14 SepDEstrela Primeira Liga1681
- 6 SepLSanta Clara Primeira Liga1712
- 28 AugLSporting CP Primeira Liga1730
Season outlook
From the Primeira Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 14 /8 | 43.7 | 0% | 2% | 3% | 7th |
| Rio Ave | 7 /8 | 37.5 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Academico Viseu: balanced profile (how Bruno Miguel Nogueira Pinheiro plays) · Rio Ave: balanced profile (how Vasco César Freire de Seabra plays)