NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

Academico Viseu 2–1 Estoril

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estadio do Fontelo, Viseu

Academico Viseu crestAcademico ViseuTeam 1670
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Estoril crestEstorilTeam 1652

Match story

Academico Viseu · draw · Estoril

Before kick-off: 42% · 30% · 28%

Live chances: Academico Viseu 97%, draw 3%, Estoril 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 42%, draw 30%, Estoril 28%2' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 42%, draw 30%, Estoril 28%3' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 42%, draw 30%, Estoril 28%4' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 42%, draw 30%, Estoril 28%5' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 42%, draw 30%, Estoril 28%6' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 42%, draw 31%, Estoril 28%7' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 42%, draw 31%, Estoril 28%8' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 41%, draw 31%, Estoril 28%9' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 41%, draw 31%, Estoril 28%10' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 41%, draw 31%, Estoril 28%11' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 41%, draw 31%, Estoril 28%12' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 41%, draw 31%, Estoril 28%13' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 41%, draw 32%, Estoril 28%14' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 41%, draw 32%, Estoril 28%15' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 40%, draw 32%, Estoril 27%16' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 40%, draw 32%, Estoril 27%17' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 40%, draw 32%, Estoril 27%18' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 40%, draw 33%, Estoril 27%19' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 40%, draw 33%, Estoril 27%20' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 40%, draw 33%, Estoril 27%21' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 40%, draw 33%, Estoril 27%22' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 39%, draw 33%, Estoril 27%23' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 39%, draw 34%, Estoril 27%24' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 39%, draw 34%, Estoril 27%25' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 39%, draw 34%, Estoril 27%26' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 39%, draw 34%, Estoril 27%27' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 39%, draw 35%, Estoril 27%28' · 0–0 · Academico Viseu 38%, draw 35%, Estoril 27%29' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 72%, draw 20%, Estoril 8%30' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 72%, draw 20%, Estoril 8%31' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 72%, draw 20%, Estoril 8%32' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 72%, draw 20%, Estoril 8%33' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 72%, draw 20%, Estoril 8%34' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 72%, draw 20%, Estoril 8%35' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 72%, draw 20%, Estoril 8%36' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 72%, draw 20%, Estoril 8%37' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 73%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%38' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 73%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%39' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 73%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%40' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 73%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%41' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 73%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%42' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 73%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%43' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 73%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%44' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 73%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%45' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 74%, draw 20%, Estoril 7%45+1' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 74%, draw 20%, Estoril 6%HT · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 74%, draw 20%, Estoril 6%46' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 74%, draw 20%, Estoril 6%47' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 74%, draw 20%, Estoril 6%48' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 74%, draw 20%, Estoril 6%49' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 75%, draw 20%, Estoril 6%50' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 75%, draw 20%, Estoril 6%51' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 75%, draw 20%, Estoril 5%52' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 75%, draw 19%, Estoril 5%53' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 75%, draw 19%, Estoril 5%54' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 76%, draw 19%, Estoril 5%55' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 76%, draw 19%, Estoril 5%56' · 1–0 · Academico Viseu 76%, draw 19%, Estoril 5%57' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 30%, draw 48%, Estoril 22%58' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 29%, draw 48%, Estoril 22%59' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 29%, draw 49%, Estoril 22%60' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 29%, draw 50%, Estoril 22%61' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 28%, draw 50%, Estoril 21%62' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 28%, draw 51%, Estoril 21%63' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 27%, draw 52%, Estoril 21%64' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 27%, draw 53%, Estoril 21%65' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 26%, draw 53%, Estoril 20%66' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 26%, draw 54%, Estoril 20%67' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 25%, draw 55%, Estoril 20%68' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 25%, draw 56%, Estoril 19%69' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 24%, draw 57%, Estoril 19%70' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 24%, draw 58%, Estoril 19%71' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 23%, draw 59%, Estoril 18%72' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 23%, draw 60%, Estoril 18%73' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 22%, draw 61%, Estoril 17%74' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 22%, draw 62%, Estoril 17%75' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 21%, draw 63%, Estoril 17%76' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 20%, draw 64%, Estoril 16%77' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 20%, draw 65%, Estoril 16%78' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 19%, draw 66%, Estoril 15%79' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 18%, draw 67%, Estoril 15%80' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 17%, draw 69%, Estoril 14%81' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 17%, draw 70%, Estoril 13%82' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 16%, draw 71%, Estoril 13%83' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 15%, draw 73%, Estoril 12%84' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 14%, draw 74%, Estoril 12%85' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 13%, draw 76%, Estoril 11%86' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 13%, draw 77%, Estoril 10%87' · 1–1 · Academico Viseu 12%, draw 79%, Estoril 10%88' · 2–1 · Academico Viseu 91%, draw 8%, Estoril 0%89' · 2–1 · Academico Viseu 92%, draw 8%, Estoril 0%90' · 2–1 · Academico Viseu 93%, draw 7%, Estoril 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Academico Viseu 94%, draw 6%, Estoril 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Academico Viseu 95%, draw 5%, Estoril 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Academico Viseu 96%, draw 4%, Estoril 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Academico Viseu 97%, draw 3%, Estoril 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Academico Viseu 42% to win: they did.

  1. 27'Estoril:Jordan Holsgrove 1771 −18*
  2. 29'Academico Viseu:Cihan Kahraman 1822 +9* assist Anthony Correia 1836 +15*
  3. 31'Academico Viseu:Cihan Kahraman 1822 +9*
  4. 45'Estoril:Nail Omerovic 1697 −10* for Milan Robin 1744 −12*
  5. 56'Estoril:Rafik Guitane 1753 −34* assist João Carvalho 1741 −33*
  6. 60'Academico Viseu:Soufiane Messeguem 1809 +19*
  7. 67'Academico Viseu:Nils Mortimer 1509 −1* for Lorougnon Gohi 1369 +19*
  8. 67'Academico Viseu:Alejandro Mestanza 1466 0* for Cihan Kahraman 1822 +9*
  9. 73'Academico Viseu:Anthony Correia 1836 +15*
  10. 74'Estoril:Pedro Carvalho 1449 −8* for Ricard Sanchez Sendra 1760 −15*
  11. 74'Estoril:Tiago Parente 1587 −8* for Roko Jurišić 1689 −11*
  12. 83'Academico Viseu:Alvaro Zamora 1746 −7* for João Guilherme 1748 +4*
  13. 88'Academico Viseu:Soufiane Messeguem 1809 +19* assist Alejandro Mestanza 1466 0*
  14. 89'Estoril:André Tiago Ramos das Neves 1269 −8* for Xavier Sintes Egea 1752 −16*
  15. 90+4'Academico Viseu:Cristian Ferreira 1609 −8* for Soufiane Messeguem 1809 +19*
  16. 90+4'Academico Viseu:Paulo Rafael Pereira Araujo 1607 −8* for André Clóvis 1810 0*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJoel Robles1718−18*
DRicard Sánchez1760−15*
DA. Tsoungui1701−13*
DXavi Sintes1752−16*
DR. Jurišić1689−11*
MJ. Holsgrove1771−18*
MM. Robin1744−12*
MR. Guitane1753−34*
MJoão Carvalho1741−33*
MS. Amissah1194−8*
FAndré Lacximicant1614−8*
CVasco Matos1697−17*
Before kick-off: 42% · 30% · 28%(Academico Viseu · draw · Estoril)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Academico Viseu €619K, Estoril €1.2M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Academico Viseu

8th in Primeira Liga · 11 pts from 7

  • 20 SepWEstrela 1665
  • 12 SepWVitória SC 1623
  • 6 SepWGIL Vicente 1653
  • 29 AugLFC Porto 1616
  • 22 AugDMaritimo 1595

Estoril

18th in Primeira Liga · 2 pts from 7

  • 20 SepLCasa Pia 1680
  • 14 SepLSC Braga 1683
  • 7 SepDArouca 1671
  • 31 AugLBenfica 1701
  • 22 AugLRio Ave 1663

Season outlook

From the Primeira Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Academico Viseu11 /742.30%3%6%8th
Estoril2 /731.60%<1%56%18th
Academico Viseu
Estoril

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primeira Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Ewerton
Ewerton

Academico Viseu · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1563

R. Jurišić
R. Jurišić

Estoril · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1700

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Bruno Miguel Nogueira Pinheiro

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Vasco Miguel Lopes Matos

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Academico Viseu: balanced profile (how Bruno Miguel Nogueira Pinheiro plays) · Estoril: balanced profile (how Vasco Miguel Lopes Matos plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.