Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 8
Academica vs Leixoes
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Academica host Leixoes on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Academica 32%, draw 29%, Leixoes 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Academica €216K, Leixoes €247K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Academica goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Academica 1415 · Leixoes 1547
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Academica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1594
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Academica
6th in Segunda Liga · 12 pts from 7
- 11 OctWUnião de Leiria Liga Portugal 21448
- 11 SepLBenfica B Liga Portugal 21361
- 5 SepLPenafiel Liga Portugal 21305
- 29 AugLLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21370
- 14 AugWFeirense Liga Portugal 21347
Leixoes
10th in Segunda Liga · 10 pts from 7
- 10 OctLFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21517
- 11 SepDTorreense Liga Portugal 21540
- 6 SepWAmarante Liga Portugal 21550
- 29 AugWPortimonense Liga Portugal 21482
- 16 AugWTondela Liga Portugal 21492
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 12 /7 | 42.4 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 14th |
| Leixoes | 10 /7 | 48.7 | 3% | 22% | 5% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –